Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows. Its net cash balance sheet and premium footwear brands support a value case.
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Back to today 
From X
BDC on X
@evanspiegel @elonmusk ... Lets make it happen! $SNAP $SPCX https://t.co/lInJY54AtQ
Trevor Scott on X
@ValueInvestShow There's always the $LULU $NKE risk on these things! I mean Biden was caught wearing a pair of Hokas..
SG on X
$RGTI Rigetti CEO Subodh Kulkarni dumps $1.897m worth of shares per Form 144. Expect Form 4 by Monday. https://t.co/ZW8zjL4mZe
PAA Research on X
@JeffMacke When does this get acquired by $BSP?
Deep Sail Capital on X
$RUM was a great entry last week, $NUAI now is probably the only one I see
Chris Camillo on X
@GatorBizAlum yes, for anyone holding $BE here you have to believe in the longer term bull case. i do but no guarantees
JabroniCoin.USD on X
FT on Huawei’s quest. China WFE looking stronger. SMIC, CXMT and YMTC are all customers of US listed ACM Research $ACMR https://t.co/KJmyqHFa17
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $4.2BJXN $8.8B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.3B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.6B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4BSGE $12B
SoFi Technologies: Growth Is Doing The Heavy Lifting, And I Am Buying The Setup
SoFi targets $4.75–$4.85 billion of 2026 adjusted net revenue as lending, loan-platform fees and cross-selling scale its financial-services…
The Curious Analyst 
P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…
Celsius: The Pepsi Put
Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…
On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock
On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…
Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026
U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…
X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms
X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…
Simple Investment Ideas 2 clicks
The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does
Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
The Afterburners Could Kick In Soon On Southwest Airlines Stock - Rating Upgrade
Southwest Airlines is adding ancillary fees, assigned seating and premium products after a 6.7% Q2 adjusted operating margin, targeting up…
Tim Dunn 
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
GPK · long Graphic Packaging Holding CO
Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…
Mention Market Analysis: Truist Financial
Truist Financial’s April 17 call is forecast to feature “tailwind” in NIM and asset-repricing discussions, with the 51-cent Kalshi contract…
Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?
Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…
First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure
GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…
Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)
ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…
Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026
Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.
Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe
Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…
Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)
Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…
AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)
First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.
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- 1851 Capital
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Sectors
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