Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows. Its net cash balance sheet and premium footwear brands support a value case.
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Chris Camillo on X
We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.
Chris Camillo on X
Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO
Chris Camillo on X
13 years of hype should have made today almost impossible to live up to. Somehow for most GTA fans Rockstar delivered. $TTWO https://t.co/Uh56v646rL
Negligible Capital on X
The GTA 6 trailer is insane. Could genuinely cause a boom in strip clubs, guns, drugs and alcohol GTA IV Basket: $RICK likely gets slammed $SWBI $RGR $MSOS $TAP $DEO Etc.
Chris Camillo on X
GTA VI gameplay reveal reactions coming in 10/10. You know what I did. $TTWO
A Capital on X
$TLN getting close to the $300 mark. https://t.co/mQH5tWlfY5
Broken Moats on X
Always fascinating people willing to pay over 2x multiple for a company like $TEAM which at current levels hard to argue is pricing in much disruption threat v. an $AMZN which has a higher growth rate too
Negligible Capital on X
Not only are $IGV and $SOXX both green today, but $IGV just flipped positive YTD, led higher by $CRM up 20%, and cybersecurity names ripping after $CRWD and $OKTA Software and Semis are friends again https://t.co/pYgkP9Rtsw
Investor Letters
All letters- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 UNVGY $27B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 SGE $12B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 GNRC $12B
- Lindsell Train Limited July LDNXF $53BSGGEF $12B
- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $17B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 SANM $11BSNX $21B
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