Monday, September 7, 2026

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help story.

TRV $75BAIG $40B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 7 clicks

Sep 7 TGLS $1.6B

WD #357: Tecnoglass/Tariffs, Colombia Mining Boom?, Airports & Airlines

Ian’s Insider Corner 3 clicks

Sep 7 CELH $7.2B

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

TSOH Investment Research 8 clicks

From X

@1MainCapital Feb 20

Yaron Naymark on X

$FIX just a casual 24-bagger in the last five years

@HaydenCapital Feb 19

Fred Liu on X

Key Take-Aways from @ballmatthew 's State of Video Games Report: 1. In-App Advertising 2x'd in last 5 years $APP 2. Mobile in-app ads is almost as big as PC & Console Spend combined 😲 3. 65% of mobile games revenue comes from mid & low end smartphone users $SE 4. "Rest of World" (SE Asia, Latam, etc) accounted for all of the growth since 2021.

@catechwilliams Feb 18

catechwilliams on X

$GPGI Stagnating credit card manufacturer (fka CompoSecure). Levered up 4x to acquire commodity plastic injection molding company Husky. Last month CEO departed, this week CEO and CFO of Husky left. Now rudderless with very ambitious guidance almost certain to get revised lower.

@catechwilliams Feb 12

catechwilliams on X

$ANDG. Resurrected Arthur Andersen of Enron fame. Provides small business valuation and tax services—being disintermediated by AI, highly competitive. Ironically reported a material weakness in internal controls. Aggressive growth and valuation. Multiple other red flags.

@LaughingH20Cap Feb 10

Laughing Water Capital on X

@cfrischer1 validation of what $NN CFO Tim Gray said at Seaport a few weeks back: https://t.co/OT4MFWbPxQ

@HaydenCapital Feb 5

Fred Liu on X

Just hammering this home. For simplicity's sake, let's use round numbers for 2025: 1) J&T Order Volume Grows: 75% y/y 2) Tiktok & Other Customers Grows: 40% y/y 3) J&T Grows Market Share from 27% in 2024 > 33% in 2025 (disclosed in the 1H25 Report) 4) Non-platform % of revenue goes from 0% > 10% in 2025. All the data-points line up. Takeaway: It can be true that J&T grew 75% y/y, AND Tiktok is slowing to 40% y/y orders growth (and 30% y/y GMV). - Market narrative of Tiktok competition increasing is likely wrong. - Means that Shopee's recent spend is not a defensive move or coming from a weakened position. - In fact, they're pressing harder, while competition is weak (That's just how they operate. They waited to grow Monee loans, until the digibanks started blowing up. That's why you see an inflection in loan growth 2 years ago. Compare that to when Indo digibank NPLs started blowing up, and you'll see the correlation). Included pictures of the math (thanks ChatGPT). $SE $1519.HK

@HaydenCapital Feb 5

Fred Liu on X

From J&T's 4Q25 call. They called out 1) winning share from competitors and 2) non-platform parcels growing (i.e. not from Shopee or TTS). So perhaps J&T's strong volume growth isn't related to TTS vs. Shopee competition? $SE $1519.HK https://t.co/Jn0UArEo04 https://t.co/pbA0DXJsD6

@HaydenCapital Feb 5

Fred Liu on X

@TrigramPartners That's possible. All international ecom stocks have traded down the last few months. CPNG, MELI, etc. But at $107, $SE is trading at 7x 2028 EV/EBITDA, with 30% y/y EBITDA growth. Seems a bit extreme?

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $10B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

National Vision Holdings: Higher Ticket Prices Can't Mask Falling Foot Traffic

National Vision Holdings' 2.2% same-store sales growth masked a 4.9% transaction decline, while inventory rose 37% and deferred marketing…

EYE $1.3B

Number Cruncher Sep 7 1 click

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

COIN $52B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6B

The Value Road Sep 4 27 clicks

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

HONA $51B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 4 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

The Afterburners Could Kick In Soon On Southwest Airlines Stock - Rating Upgrade

Southwest Airlines is adding ancillary fees, assigned seating and premium products after a 6.7% Q2 adjusted operating margin, targeting up…

LUV $20B

Tim Dunn Sep 4

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $44B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 24 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $98B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $27B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 1 click

LZ · long

Legalzoom.com INC

LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.

LZ $963M

Value Investors Club Jun 9

X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms

X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…

XE $4.7B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6 2 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $848MBRBR $1B

The Value Road Sep 2 12 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 5 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 5 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $18B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 2 clicks

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $29B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 4 clicks

EVC Update

EVC reported a solid second quarter and outlook.

EVC $725M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 1 15 clicks

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…

LMB $610M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 1 9 clicks

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $6B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

Monday, September 7, 2026

Yaron Naymark on X

Fred Liu on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

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