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Tuesday, September 1, 2026

From X

@BlueDuckCap

BDC on X

Ok so $GOOGL beat on every KPI that they told you mattered for the print. And yet the stock is off 6% and nuking the market with it. This is bad for the AI cycle for two reasons: 1. Credit markets were already revolting vs hyperscalers capex spend. 2. Now if equity markets revolt too - where does the funding come from? Either CEO's like Sundar who get paid 10s of millions / year need to make an actual attempt to quantify expected CASH ROIC to the market OR markets might just say they've had enough...we see the $ out the door and have no line of sight as to when it comes back in. We selling. @ajassy take note.
@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$ROL ugly quarter, hate when the call is the following day (same with $MEDP) but as much as Ive beat it up on valuation over the past few years it finally starts to enter the interesting zone under $35. demographic trends to TX and the SE favor increased pest control over time, recurring service, start pushing 15-18x in the low 30s Research considerations - would be curious to see how increased PE movement into the space in different markets continues to impact density and lead generation and pricing as well as m&a opportunities before pulling the trigger here. Not a luxury but an essential service in my neck of the woods.

Investor Letters

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BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…

BE $64B
Valuation Rewind 6 clicks

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