Sunday, August 30, 2026

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

BE $64B

SA Valuation Rewind Aug 29 5 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

Alphabet 2Q'26: Google Cloud is On Cloud Nine

Alphabet’s 2Q’26 revenue rose 24% to $119.8 billion as Google Cloud grew 82% and tripled operating income, while heavy investment drove…

Danaher 2Q'26: Yet Another "Meh" Quarter

Danaher posted 3.0% core revenue growth in 2Q’26, with LTM adjusted EBITA flat at $7.1 billion since 2Q’24 despite a mid-20s earnings…

TSMC 2Q'26: Stratospheric Margins Amidst the AI Super Cycle

TSMC’s 2Q 2026 operating margin exceeded 60% as AI-driven demand for advanced chips pushed profitability beyond the prior cycle’s…

ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power

ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.

Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival

Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…

WhatsApp's New Era

WhatsApp named CRED founder Kunal Shah to replace Will Cathcart after Meta bought a 20% CRED stake for $900 million, signaling a push to…

Defending the Enterprise Castle from the Model Layer

Microsoft urges enterprises to keep AI memory, evaluations and orchestration inside their tenant boundary, making frontier models…

Meta On the Offense!

Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 targets agentic enterprise work, backed by employee workflow data and 3,000 engineers building reinforcement-learning…

The Great Rotation: Long Live the Old Economy — Weekly Treasure Hunt #04

Vaca Muerta’s $36–45-per-barrel breakevens, Milei reforms and $17 billion infrastructure buildout underpin the bullish case for Vista…

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…