Sunday, August 30, 2026
From X
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker So they can reissue them at fire sale prices in the future to avoid bankruptcy. See American Airlines, circa 2015. $AAL https://t.co/mEfrPFACcY
David Orr on X
It's these types of ads that $GOOG Google won't be able to get away with long term anymore. This always degraded the user experience. Which was fine when they were a monopoly. But they are not a monopoly anymore. How much will this hurt their revenue? https://t.co/i07ww09r4x
Chris Camillo on X
@ryanTesling @elliotrades worry isn’t something i do often. a rate hike is a known risk investors won’t like short term, but it changes nothing about my larger $AMZN thesis.
Ian Bezek on X
@davey_juice @ThainRos $EWZ might go lower. I don't have a strong opinion on where big components like Vale and Petrobras go, could be down more. I think $INTR and $NU will keep growing fast enough to offset macro jitters.
Chris Camillo on X
@elliotrades $AMZN
Ian Bezek on X
@davey_juice @ThainRos I own a lot of $NU and $INTR but think Lula is going to win, so that's not ideal. Flavio polls look a little better, but he's still a bad candidate. Colombia only went to Abelardo by 1 pt. Lula is incumbent, more popular than Petro, and their electorate is more leftist.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5B
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $80B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $45B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.5T
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Carving Up the TPU
Google’s TPUs give it vertically integrated AI training and inference economics as Anthropic and Meta consider adoption, challenging…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
SBM – capital flight triggers another all-time high
SBM, Monaco’s largest company, reaches another all-time high as capital flows back to Europe and boosts the Principality’s property-heavy…
Dun & Bradstreet: Strategic Process Wrapping Up, Cheap Valuation
Dun & Bradstreet’s strategic process is wrapping up as the company trades at a cheap valuation.
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ's proposed shift from buybacks to equity-funded bolt-on M&A targets renewed revenue compounding after the $2.3 billion Marcum deal and…
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
Pershing Square Challenge 2026 finalists on MSA Safety: a hidden quality compounder? $MSA
MSA Safety’s Pershing Square Challenge finalists pitch gas-detection subscriptions, mandated SCBA replacement cycles and a 2023 liability…
$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest
Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…
An Open Letter to the TPL Board
Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…
First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure
GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…
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