Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
All that complexity and blow-up risk to clone $SPY's returns in a bull market? https://t.co/kYImPyU49M
NN is expected to take longer than hoped, but the outlook for the next couple of months is positive.
@MLedrappier @roadkillrecipes @CalgaryLeveen @FishOnCapital $NN No doubt the smartest people in the room think Sept and Oct are very live months. The SpaceX news is critically important great news. I may be wrong, but I love the company’s position right now.
$NN I agree with those who say I have been overly optimistic on timing. That said, I have underestimated the value of the NN low band spectrum. This article gives a good idea about potential demand for low band from Elon and SpaceX.
$NN Given demand from direct to device carriers, we might receive bids from 4 or 5 parties willing to pay a fair price for the NN low band spectrum. These bidders could include big three, Amazon and SpaceX.
$NN SpaceX looks to compete with the carriers | Semafor https://t.co/yS103EaSSK
$NN An investor bought 5,000 Sept $15 option contracts today for $1.40. Assuming shares were $25 post NPRM, these have a 7x return or an implied 15% chance of happening. I think at $1.40, these options were priced far below intrinsic value. I like this trade very much. Very smart
$NN Some commentators on this board believe satellite companies have no interest in buying NN 900 MHz spectrum. I think this NPRM for space part 15 for 900 MHz implies the exact opposite is true. I believe satellite companies will show strong interest in NN spectrum.
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Every source on this site, hand-picked.
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.