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Thursday, August 27, 2026

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Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M
Yet Another Value Podcast 13 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

They certainly left the door open for that by saying "they expect banks to finance 50% of an acquisition." But, based on previous interviews, I do not think they will do more than ~10 to 20% dilution. They have a nice level cash and should use it. They talked about a $20M upper limit. So, the bank does $10M, $BOSC could spend $5M in cash, and then issue ~1M shares. I am still on the sideline here, but watching. However, if they are not crying wolf again, it's interesting and cheap enough to wait and see for a bit.
@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$WMT talking about investing heavily to lower prices with the bulk hitting at the end of Q2 and the real impact to be seen in Q3 and Q4....how is that not a negative for $TGT? Consumer incremental weaker according to wmt mgmt and while TGT has stepped over low comps, and created some traction with new assortment at current prices (17x next year on 3% growth and actually declining earnings yoy) very difficult to argue Target is cheap and isn't going to be threatened by new price competition for tighter wallets across WMT and TJX

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The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $37MHHS $35M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 8 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $90B
MBI Deep Dives 9 clicks
LGCY · long

Legacy Education

Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.

LGCY $132M
Value Investors Club

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

PYPL $45B
MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B
The Oak Bloke 13 clicks

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.

ABNB $90B
MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 13 clicks

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