NYSE

Target CORP

TGT

4 stories

$70B Market cap · 2026-10-09

@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$TGT continues to run post earnings now at 17x next year before considering net debt load with earnings expected to shrink next year on less than 3% growth Tough weekend too. ATF with 1.8m members (teachers union) announced a boycott for back to school of Target last week and today are having to make public comments about a racially insensitive clown costume….. might seem on the margin but prior issues with pride and other campaigns were a key contributor to TGTs foot traffic problems
@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

still feel the rotation from July-current is more about a short squeeze (the opposite end of the Situational Awareness portfolio) and the dispersion of having to unwind the long semi trade portion. But that rubber band is similarly stretched as it was the opposite direction at the end of June. Still feel its in the process of reversing (even the morning action today looks like a top could set in?) $RNG, $IT, $APPN, $TGT, $EXPE, $FDS, $PAYC, $ELF, $MET, $MFC, $GDDY, $V, and many more that were AI losers that have had incredible runs in the past 4-6 weeks seem like good ways to be short against a snap back to AI or a more seasonal unwind from policy risk trying to control rates, midterm/fall seasonal factors, etc. Especially with SaaS earnings taking the stage later this week and next (overshadowed by $NVDA on Wednesday)
@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$WMT talking about investing heavily to lower prices with the bulk hitting at the end of Q2 and the real impact to be seen in Q3 and Q4....how is that not a negative for $TGT? Consumer incremental weaker according to wmt mgmt and while TGT has stepped over low comps, and created some traction with new assortment at current prices (17x next year on 3% growth and actually declining earnings yoy) very difficult to argue Target is cheap and isn't going to be threatened by new price competition for tighter wallets across WMT and TJX

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