Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
Back to today 
From X
marginofdanger on X
$BWEL has been the most aggressive in years on its share buybacks since the last reported financials (6/30/25). While not as significant as I would like, the increased pace of buyback is probably a good sign for FY26 results. https://t.co/tQmmswZS0P
Ian Bezek on X
Bancolombia $CIB tags $100 today. Congrats to the Colombia bulls, market is heating up now. https://t.co/IQTMPVvWXf
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS initiates $CENX conservatively: $60 at 4x EV/EBITDA > Oklahoma & shareholder return catalysts > best leverage to US MWP > Oklahoma and datacenter not priced in > 4x below normalized mid cycle https://t.co/MiKQD9rlFV
SG on X
@DeItaone from the low base rate, this would significantly expand $DJT revenue
Lee Roach on X
Here is my update on $EVC after Q2 earnings. Just sent out to all subs. Happy to hear any thoughts. https://t.co/TmdiUzv4my
SG on X
Not in $OGI at the moment but this was a good report. Congrats to those who held. cc @danreaven https://t.co/Nvtr15omhI
SG on X
$RILY gapping up this morning on favorable earnings report from $BW. BRC Holdings owns 27.6m shares of Babcock and Wilcox. https://t.co/SN5tDEz3T5
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $164M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MEVGGF $17B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BBRSL $1.9B
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81BIX $42B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $42BBABA $288B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 ORCL $437B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $99BADYEN $33B
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
RCEL 2026-08-24 AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
BAC 2026-08-20 Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG
Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 1 click
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
TEM 2026-08-20 Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance
Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
LGCY · long Legacy Education
Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.
RKLB 2026-08-26 Rocket Lab Is Becoming Much Bigger Than Neutron
Rocket Lab generated $234 million in Q2 revenue and built a $2.36 billion backlog, with Neutron priced at $50 million to $55 million before…
Pythia Research 3 clicks
Walmart’s Evolution
Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
NBIS 2026-08-20 Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number
Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.
The Quality Growth Investor 1 click
Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
APP 2026-08-19 AppLovin: Here's How I See 3 Catalysts That Could Drive Valuation Re-Rating
AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…
KL Research 1 click
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
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