Monday, August 24, 2026

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including OpenRouter and Metronome.

ADYEY $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

Aug 24 STRR $37M

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Triple S Special Situations Investing 8 clicks

Aug 23 ABNB $90B

Core Memory

MBI Deep Dives 9 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 2/x) remember $NN does not want 907-918 MHz. RFID signal is strongest at 915. Europe and China both use ~9 MHz for RFID, with restrictions on power and listen before talk. Why is 11 MHz that includes 915 (9 w/ blockers) not enough for RFID in the US? https://t.co/U9xEpNXW22

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 1/x) agree- same objectors in different clothing. We need real world tests to prove/disprove interference - $NN has been calling for those tests for 2 years b/c they know the answer. An NPRM can force testing. The real question though is why does RFID need 902-928 MHz?

@mavix_leon Apr 22 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO Q1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues -1.5% *Live Casino -3.2% *RNG +8.2% ▫️EBITDA -1.9% ▫️EBITDA margin of 65.4% (vs. 65.6%) ▫️Profit -1.1% ▫️EPS +2.1% ▫️OCF -4.3% ▫️Europe decline continues die to regulation, while other regions show good progress https://t.co/0HkW1HexzA

@eriksen_tim Apr 18 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Cedar Creek Partners Q1 letter released. Fund was up 6.8% in Q1, net of fees and expenses. $SODI $ENDI $EXCE $PHIF $HRBR $STLE $SLBK $RVRF https://t.co/d794sYsHAT

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 17 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

$NN https://t.co/rn1GCqqeWI

@eriksen_tim Apr 16 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

@andrewcoye @chrisvirnig @DeepSailCapital Aggregate change among all 5% owners within three years. So not thousands. For $BIRD the Class B founding shares are more than three years old so they drop off, it is change for FMR, Ghost Angel, Vanguard, Blackrock plus any grants to B holders in last 3 yrs.

@eriksen_tim Apr 15 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

So PaperClip (expert: $PCPJ) issues an important press release but somehow it ends up under an incorrect ticker for China Dongsheng. Do they not realize they can correct these things? https://t.co/pULXthDnYq

@mavix_leon Apr 14 1 click

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG announces revenues of EUR 33.4 million (+26%) for Q1 2026. The Company’s liquidity position developed positively in the first quarter of 2026. Cash and cash equivalents increased by approximately 45% compared to year-end 2025 to EUR 19.9 million, https://t.co/rbBjwNHc8T

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

PTLO 2026-08-20

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…

PTLO $278M

KC Research Aug 20 2 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $14BMRNA $73B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.5B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $19B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 12 clicks

JBTM · long

JBT Marel Corporation

JBT Marel is an enduring food-equipment business with low AI risk, automation upside and favorable GLP-1 exposure.

JBTM $5.7B

Value Investors Club May 26

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

PYPL $45B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 21 4 clicks

VISN 2026-08-21

Vistance Networks: The Valuation Makes This Stock A Strong Buy

Vistance Networks trades at $11 after a $5 special distribution, with a DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle, cash reserves and a $160 million tax…

VISN $1.5B

Investor Overview Aug 21 1 click

Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash

Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 20 4 clicks

NBIS 2026-08-20

Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number

Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.

NBIS $64B

The Quality Growth Investor Aug 20 1 click

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 19 4 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $68B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 9 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $422M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

mavix on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Tim Eriksen on X

mavix on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 30 of 165

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors