The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth far less than half the profit.
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
@Ross__Hendricks @DratchCap @WarrenPies Equity is abundant even while absolute debt issuance skyrockets. I would think prudent capital allocators would tap the former… (see $GOOG, $ORCL as of late)
Ian Bezek on X
@davey_juice @taobanker I own both. $NU seems inevitable. $INTR more execution and single-market risk but a lot more upside if it works and gets rerated.
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker $INTR at 1.2x book 5.5x '27 earnings with a 16% ROE growing at 20% a year probably qualifies. But yes, $BLX is incredible and I still kick myself for selling most of my position at $25 after buying at $15. Grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory there.
BDC on X
@BoxLongs Wild truth is that if $SNAP chooses they can earn over $1/share in FCF next year. $5 stock.
Chris Camillo on X
Bought $TTWO after seeing the GTA VI leaked footage. Forget the graphics. Unpolished gameplay is showing a massive leap in world density, NPC behavior and systemic depth. The world feels alive. First real evidence GTA VI may actually be a generational leap. That’s the signal. https://t.co/r6HKMVSYgc
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker $U up every day, $APP down every day, $RBLX demolished. Things as they should be.
Ian Bezek on X
@2suns2moons @bold_perception $CIB dividend up from $2.25/year in 2022 to more than $6/share now. Covers a lot of living expenses. If you relocate to another country, good to own some stuff there so you have an economic stake if its conditions improve...
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Deutsche Bank $DB freed from consent order in 2010s FX scandal https://t.co/BsHGBheaWK
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $17BNVO $175B
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81BIX $43B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $42BBABA $288B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 ORCL $446B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter CLBT $2.9BHGTY $4.7B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $99BADYEN $33B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 ACA $7.2BADMA $2.1B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 ACI $5.9BAVTR $11B
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
NBIS 2026-08-20 Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number
Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.
The Quality Growth Investor 1 click
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
TEM 2026-08-20 Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance
Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
APP 2026-08-19 AppLovin: Here's How I See 3 Catalysts That Could Drive Valuation Re-Rating
AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…
KL Research 1 click
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
ACN · long Accenture PLC
Accenture has been repriced as an AI loser despite its expected near-term benefit from AI adoption.
Ferrari Exploratory Report
Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…
Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update
Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.
Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg
Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…
LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap
LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…
LandBridge: It’s the Pore Space Stupid!
LandBridge’s produced-water pore-space royalties, 69% of Q3 2025 revenue, offer durable value beyond its volatile Permian data-center…
Data Centers in the Permian Basin Part 3 - First Comes Power
Chevron’s proposed $6.5 billion, 2.5GW West Texas gas plant could support Permian AI data centers, with TPL, Oxy and WaterBridge land…
TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity
TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…
Haw Par Corporation Limited
Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.
National Beverage Update
National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.
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marginofdanger
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Mike
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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- 1851 Capital
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