The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth far less than half the profit.
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Back to today 
From X
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Semrush found that Reddit citations collapsed in ChatGPT through 2025. And in AI responses in general. Different reasons have been proffered, but I for one am glad SEO spam and human-generated nonsense is being weighted less $RDDT https://t.co/J1qIjVsvlO
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Any fundamental views on $RH here? I’ve been recently trying on the short as a trade into the $180 level with some success, feels like it has squeezed higher due to de-grossing/de-leveraging. Other building names are very weak with 10-year testing 5%.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Old Second $OSBC has 'no interest in betting the farm' on M&A | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/VmbJj1Eure
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker I half heartedly pitched $jd the week it bottomed with an apology attached to it for buying such a hated stock. Sure enough straight up
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Bank investors need this. Please don’t go. $CCB $GBFH $FFBB $UBAB $SLBK https://t.co/ibodMsCRRH https://t.co/rmGbDGHcpL
mavix on X
I just published my Portfolio Update for July '26. It includes: ▫️My current Portfolio & position sizes ▫️Earnings Update about $EVO, $BRM.V, $ALENO.PA, -undisclosed- ▫️Recent news & information about $LEAT, $CIRC.MI, $SLYG, $4058, $EVO Link for the blog in Bio 😊 https://t.co/7eVa84MGbr
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.8B
- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $17BSTOR-B $1.7B
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81BIX $43B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $42BIMO $60B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 006400 $31BIKTSF $12B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $99BADYEN $33B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 ACA $7.2BADMA $2.1B
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
TEM 2026-08-20 Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance
Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
PGY 2026-08-19 Pagaya Technologies: A Fast-Growing Industry Disruptor Trading At A P/E Of 6.6x
Pagaya Technologies reported Q2 2026 network volume of $3.54 billion, 19% revenue growth and 99% adjusted net-income growth, while trading…
Akim Guerreiro 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
DASH · long Doordash INC
DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…
Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
CRWV 2026-08-19 CoreWeave: The Execution Story Is Flashing A Strong Signal (Rating Upgrade)
CoreWeave’s Q2 converted backlog into sales, expanded margins and lifted operating leverage as active contracts topped half of its $104.2…
Future Stack Investment 
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
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JabroniCoin.USD
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SG
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
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