NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Back to today
From X
Timyan Bank Alert on X
QNB Corp. $QNBC Announces Pricing of Common Stock Offering https://t.co/5mPLeT0iSH
BDC on X
@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.
BDC on X
@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap
Mike on X
@mathlonning $SIF especially, I thought the Q was good
BDC on X
@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.
Ian Bezek on X
@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
Ian Bezek on X
@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $178M082920 $961M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $89MEVGGF $15B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 0R1M $888BAEM $93B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $90BADYEN $31B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 ACA $7.2BADMA $2.3B
- Ariel Investments second quarter of 2026
- Grey Owl Capital Management Q2 2026
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 CRBG $15B
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
GLXY · long Galaxy Digital INC
Galaxy Digital (GLXY) is presented as a long investment idea.
ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power
ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.
Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival
Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…
WhatsApp's New Era
WhatsApp named CRED founder Kunal Shah to replace Will Cathcart after Meta bought a 20% CRED stake for $900 million, signaling a push to…
U-Haul Bought at the Top
U-Haul’s pandemic-era fleet purchases at inflated prices now drive higher depreciation and disposal losses as truck and van prices…
[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips
Copart’s returning CEO Jay Adair plans to restart European expansion and build domestic whole-car sales on its global buyer network amid…
Corporate dark arts: the strangest 8-K I've ever seen $DMRC
DMRC’s incoming CEO can earn more than $40 million if shares rise roughly fivefold, despite an 8-K warning of substantial doubt about the…
Is insider buying a signal if the insiders are always wrong? $LILAK
LILAK’s canceled GCI Liberty deal, preferred-stock distribution, and $1.7 million of insider buying revive governance concerns around John…
PesoRama ($PESO.V) FINS Review
PesoRama’s 0.64 current ratio, operating cash burn and 111% annual dilution offset 36% Q1 revenue growth, despite replacing an 18.5% loan…
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
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JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
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kab60
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marginofdanger
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
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- Frank Capital Partners
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