NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Back to today
From X
Timyan Bank Alert on X
QNB Corp. $QNBC Announces Pricing of Common Stock Offering https://t.co/5mPLeT0iSH
BDC on X
@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.
BDC on X
@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap
Mike on X
@mathlonning $SIF especially, I thought the Q was good
BDC on X
@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.
Ian Bezek on X
@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
Ian Bezek on X
@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $178M082920 $961M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $89MEVGGF $15B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 0R1M $888BAEM $93B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $90BADYEN $31B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 ACA $7.2BADMA $2.3B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 CRBG $15B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 ACI $5.7BAVTR $11B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 TPL $24BAMZN $2.7T
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
CHRW · long C H Robinson Worldwide INC
C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.
Adobe Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)
Adobe trades at 11x earnings despite $24.5 billion of revenue, 37% operating margins and 12% profit growth; a former data-science head…
PayPal tries again (and again)
Stripe’s startup-focused product sprawl contrasts with Adyen’s enterprise restraint; despite 20% more payment volume and faster growth,…
Meta: 1Q26 Business Update
Meta’s Q1 2026 revenue rose 33% as ad impressions gained 19%, while AI-driven ranking and targeting lifted engagement and conversion;…
Under The Hood: Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($ULTA)
Ulta Beauty’s 46 million-member loyalty model drove strong historical cash flow, but earnings have stalled since fiscal 2022 as SG&A rose;…
Under The Hood, HCA Healthcare - $HCA
HCA Healthcare generated $75.6 billion of 2025 revenue and an 18.9% ROIC, pairing hospital-market scale with expanding margins and lower…
An Open Letter to the TPL Board
Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…
Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL
Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…
Forgive me Father, I have Sabled.
Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…
First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure
GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…
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