Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
From X
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Numbers don’t add up. 50% sales $CSCO product (sales -13% MRQ, guided -11%). MRQ $PLUS sales +13% (reported yesterday). Earnings call question: “OEM Cisco have talked about bottlenecks, weak orders. You’ve been unscathed…how are you outperforming the market significantly?”
catechwilliams on X
$EXLS Highly innovative founder-CEO rapidly taking share w AI-based services. High-teens topline growth w expanding margins, higher value-add mix to attractive end-markets. 17x P/E yet to reflect business transformation. 100% FCF to buybacks. Winning customers from $ACN $DXC $WIT
catechwilliams on X
$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.
catechwilliams on X
$CART Moved forward its lock-up expiration date to 2/16 (Thursday) from the original 3/19. >65% of the shares will be eligible for sale. COO leaving, just announced a restructuring w ambitious guidance. Almost certainly did so to support the stock in advance of a secondary.
Ian Bezek on X
@boujee_banker @Nobilis_Capital @HettyGreen2020 I own $FMX and $JRONY (which owns one of the Colombian ones). $TBBB trading at a huge premium, but they get to 10000+ stores eventually will still work for you.
Ian Bezek on X
Bancolombia $CIB tags $100 today. Congrats to the Colombia bulls, market is heating up now. https://t.co/IQTMPVvWXf
Ian Bezek on X
@SowingAlphaSeed I had $U long $APP short on for a while. Still long Unity, but shouldn't have covered Applovin, would have been right on both ends.
Investor Letters
All letters- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 +5.0%
- RGA Investment Advisors Q3 2025
- RGA Investment Advisors Q4 2025
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Weitz Investment Management 3Q25
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Older Stories
[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
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SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman BKNG 2026-08-07[scuttleslops] BKNG, ABNB, SHOP, LPX, TREX, XYZ
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Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap
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The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
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