NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
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From X
BDC on X
@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.
BDC on X
@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap
BDC on X
@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.
Ian Bezek on X
@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
Ian Bezek on X
@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.
Ian Bezek on X
@OtterMarket @gatorcapital $tfsl is just under a billion when you exclude the phantom shares. I've owned it a long time and very few people care about it either. That said, this NY one is even more obscure
Ian Bezek on X
@stoked_on_waves @CapitalShipyard $open's backers also claim it is profitable. Apparently you can just say stuff now
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.8B
- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $17BNVO $175B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AEM $102BCHTR $15B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $99BADYEN $33B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 ACA $7.2BADMA $2.1B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 CRBG $15B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 ACI $5.9BAVTR $11B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 TPL $24BCBOE $28B
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
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Stock Trade Compilation Diez
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Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
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[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
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The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
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NXPI · long Nxp Semiconductors NV
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Danaher 2Q'26: Yet Another "Meh" Quarter
Danaher posted 3.0% core revenue growth in 2Q’26, with LTM adjusted EBITA flat at $7.1 billion since 2Q’24 despite a mid-20s earnings…
Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival
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$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
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Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…
Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
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U-Haul Bought at the Top
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[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips
Copart’s returning CEO Jay Adair plans to restart European expansion and build domestic whole-car sales on its global buyer network amid…
Is insider buying a signal if the insiders are always wrong? $LILAK
LILAK’s canceled GCI Liberty deal, preferred-stock distribution, and $1.7 million of insider buying revive governance concerns around John…
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
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