Wednesday, August 19, 2026

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Aug 19 ABNB $90B

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

Aug 18 JMIA $938M

Jumia

Triple S Special Situations Investing 13 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 3 clicks

BDC on X

@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 3 clicks

BDC on X

@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 4 clicks

BDC on X

@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.

@irbezek Aug 19 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.

@irbezek Aug 19 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.

@irbezek Aug 19 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.

@irbezek Aug 19 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@OtterMarket @gatorcapital $tfsl is just under a billion when you exclude the phantom shares. I've owned it a long time and very few people care about it either. That said, this NY one is even more obscure

@irbezek Aug 19 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@stoked_on_waves @CapitalShipyard $open's backers also claim it is profitable. Apparently you can just say stuff now

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $19B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 12 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $67B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 9 clicks

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

DASH $84BSERV $370M

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

MNRO $383M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

The AI Compute Squeeze

CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…

CRWV $47BNBIS $59B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 14 8 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8BKSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…

ZTS $30B

scuttleblurb Aug 13 9 clicks

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 9 clicks

USO · short

United States Oil Fund Lp

United States Oil Fund faces a short case tied to a long-Brent, short-WTI trade as Strait of Hormuz closure risk disrupts oil markets.

USO $990M

Value Investors Club May 19 2 clicks

Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL

Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…

POOL $6.1B

Bearhold Research Apr 17 2 clicks

Forgive me Father, I have Sabled.

Sable Offshore restarted Santa Ynez oil flows under a Defense Production Act order, targeting 50,000 barrels daily and a path to 60,000…

SOC $835M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Apr 16 3 clicks

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $33B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $54B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $4.2B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

Water and Power: The Dual Engines Driving LandBridge’s Explosive Growth

LandBridge outlined $300 million in pore-space free cash flow within five years; its Permian data-center project remains proof of concept.

LB $6.8B

310 Value’s Newsletter Mar 26 3 clicks

Hallador Pt. 2 — "Massive" Data Center Incoming in Sullivan, IN? ($HNRG)

Hallador’s 1 GW Merom plant could supply a proposed 1,000-acre Sullivan County data center, with local filings and Stantec references tying…

HNRG $708M

Multibagger Monitor Mar 5 9 clicks

Theravance Biopharma: Failed Phase 3 Trial, Strategic Review

Theravance Biopharma began a strategic review after a failed Phase 3 trial.

TBPH $884M

Clark Street Value Mar 5 2 clicks

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

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