Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.

ABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 19 4 clicks

Aug 18 IREN $19B

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

Yet Another Value Blog 12 clicks

Aug 17 NU $67B

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Yet Another Value Podcast 9 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 3 clicks

BDC on X

@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 3 clicks

BDC on X

@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap

@irbezek Aug 19 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.

@irbezek Aug 19 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 1 click

BDC on X

Could happen. Also - there will be a massive 2ndary soon and insiders will start dumping shares. I wish this was a cure for cancer. It is not. If it ever even commercializes (still a big if) it will be just another thearaputic that will be sold along with Keytruda and in some cases may deter relapse. That's it. In fact, we may learn that the same lipid nano particles that the mrna technology relies on and which have been speculated to be a cancer causer in their own right (hint, they are) actually cause occurence of other cancers such as colon and pancreatic and breast. Does lowering recurrence in melanoma in exchange for a higher chance of colon cancer sound like a "cure"? I wish it was. No material position as of now. Congrats to bulls, I guess. $MRNA

@TheBenSchmark Aug 19 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Steadily down, then suddenly. H/T @forgebitz Semrush showed signficant decline for $RDDT citations last year, and now a sudden further plummet. Perhaps human shitposting and SEO AI slop fest isn’t indispensable data… https://t.co/aSIBSTBUfE https://t.co/z0EEAvAm7E

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 1 click

BDC on X

Reality check: Ph2 $MRNA lead with the data. Ph3, no actual data. They are just saying they hit their endpoints. Those being RFS, DFMS, OS. "We have not disclosed with Merk kind of where the goalpost is". This is not a "personalized cancer vaccine". $MRNA gave themselves an A on the test but we don't know how hard the test was. That's what this is.

@RagingVentures Aug 17 3 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Overview of new Permian gas takeaway options $ET https://t.co/d6v7olZYwB

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

The AI Compute Squeeze

CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…

CRWV $47BNBIS $59B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 14 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…

ZTS $30B

scuttleblurb Aug 13 9 clicks

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 9 clicks

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12 11 clicks

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…

LPLA $26B

Steve Eisman Aug 10 13 clicks

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…

ODFL $36B

scuttleblurb Jul 30

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $99B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 2 clicks

IQV · long

Iqvia Holdings INC

IQVIA runs drug trials and gets paid regardless of whether drugs pass, while trading at a COVID-low multiple with potential AI benefits.

IQV $44B

Value Investors Club May 20 1 click

Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival

Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…

ABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 15 3 clicks

[VRSK] Verisk has standards

Verisk’s exit from healthcare, financial-services and energy data restored a pure-play insurance analytics model, but D.E.

VRSK $22B

scuttleblurb Jun 8 1 click

The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis

Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…

SMMT $14B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 31 7 clicks

Adobe Deep Dive

Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos May 26 2 clicks

Adobe Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)

Adobe trades at 11x earnings despite $24.5 billion of revenue, 37% operating margins and 12% profit growth; a former data-science head…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos May 4

PayPal tries again (and again)

Stripe’s startup-focused product sprawl contrasts with Adyen’s enterprise restraint; despite 20% more payment volume and faster growth,…

PYPL $45B

scuttleblurb May 4

Under The Hood: Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($ULTA)

Ulta Beauty’s 46 million-member loyalty model drove strong historical cash flow, but earnings have stalled since fiscal 2022 as SG&A rose;…

ULTA $24B

Bearhold Research Apr 28

Under The Hood, HCA Healthcare - $HCA

HCA Healthcare generated $75.6 billion of 2025 revenue and an 18.9% ROIC, pairing hospital-market scale with expanding margins and lower…

HCA $95B

Bearhold Research Apr 25 3 clicks

An Open Letter to the TPL Board

Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…

TPL $24B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 22 3 clicks

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

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