$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing Brazilian lender.
Monday, August 17, 2026
From X
catechwilliams on X
$MRLN. Recent SPAC. Development-stage science project attempting to make autonomous airplanes. Even if they ever get FAA approval, it will take a brave sole to get in a plane with no pilot and/or send high value cargo. Many existing autopilot competitors. Burning $70M/ year.
catechwilliams on X
$GPGI Stagnating credit card manufacturer (fka CompoSecure). Levered up 4x to acquire commodity plastic injection molding company Husky. Last month CEO departed, this week CEO and CFO of Husky left. Now rudderless with very ambitious guidance almost certain to get revised lower.
catechwilliams on X
$ANDG. Resurrected Arthur Andersen of Enron fame. Provides small business valuation and tax services—being disintermediated by AI, highly competitive. Ironically reported a material weakness in internal controls. Aggressive growth and valuation. Multiple other red flags.
catechwilliams on X
AI data-center vacancy rates are 2-3% as tenants scramble for compute capacity; a customer loss raises doubts that WYFI can replace it after NC-1 performance issues.
catechwilliams on X
The $WYFI data center which was formerly a food distribution center. https://t.co/t2cpUNZXqp
catechwilliams on X
$WYFI Retrofitted a food distro warehouse into a NC-1 DC. Lost anchor tenant ($20M rev), promising a new large customer since 10/27. CEO claiming “very very soon” for last 20 days. Increasingly evident will not happen. Sell-side & stock prices assume huge rev ramp. Burning cash.
catechwilliams on X
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
catechwilliams on X
$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.
Investor Letters
All letters- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Patient Capital Management fourth quarter of 2025 +6.0%
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 +13.6%
- Artisan Partners Q2 2026 +12.4%
- Weitz Investment Management 4Q25
- Weitz Investment Management second quarter
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2025
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q4 2025
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Why I am going to utilize options more to manage my portfolio
Options strategies will manage portfolio risk after Meta, Alphabet and Amazon calls drove gains, while Lululemon LEAPs produced an 80% loss.
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
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