Sunday, August 16, 2026

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed against SEO-driven SMB churn risk.

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

Aug 14 CRWV $47B

The AI Compute Squeeze

MBI Deep Dives 8 clicks

Aug 13 ZTS $30B

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

scuttleblurb 9 clicks

From X

@Seawolfcap Jan 22 4 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@JeffreyCherkin Not a bad purchase of $FTAI this time last year < $90! @MelissaLeeCNBC

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 7 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@UnHedgedChatter @InvestSpecial @Wexboy_Value $AS, owner of Arc'teryx & 9 other brands trades at more than 3x sales. $CLAR, which would fit perfectly into AS's portfolio trades at less than 0.5x sales and is exploring strategic alts. 🤷‍♂️

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 2

Laughing Water Capital on X

Interesting framing for $NN. $95 is pretty far above my upside case, but agree the $T / FirstNet arrangement is interesting context, despite some obvious differences. https://t.co/b3FsHVkivk

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 26 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@FishOnCapital IMHO best to view this in context of the pod w/ the banker from the 600 MHz. To paraphrase, all of the likely buyers wanted the 600, but AT&T won b/c they were able to move fastest. I suspect $VZ, $TMUS & others will be ready to move fast for $NN's 900. https://t.co/5gRpmej4Bk

@catechwilliams Jul 31 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.

@rusholmecapital Mar 1

Rusholme Capital on X

I'm not finding much of interest in this market. Few notes to myself so that I can look back and see how wrong I was: - Software & semi are expensive, but always are. I'm watching $CDW which posted its first revenue growth in a long time - Not finding much of interest in healthcare. Medtech is ex-growth and expensive. Lot of names under pressure from Trump cost cutting - Valuations for financials have gotten stretched. I'm trimming some big winners here - High-ticket consumer goods are struggling, but travel remains strong. Seeing green shoots in Canadian housing. I'm careful with the Canadian cannabis renaissance - Canadian OFS is topping out and transport is getting killed. Several cheap packaging names, but no growth

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 9 clicks

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12 11 clicks

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…

SCHW $182BLPLA $26B

Steve Eisman Aug 10 13 clicks

Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability

Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…

FIG $12B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 10 10 clicks

[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same

Visa and Mastercard have absorbed digital wallets and BNPL into their networks, using global merchant acceptance to turn supposed…

MA $487B

scuttleblurb Aug 10 9 clicks

Shopify 2Q'26: Sustained Miraculous Growth

Shopify sustained 30% FX-neutral GMV growth in 2Q’26, reaching roughly 44% of Amazon’s retail GMV as international, POS and B2B volumes…

SHOP $165B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 8 11 clicks

SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman reviews SpaceX earnings, AI capital spending’s drag on free cash flow, Meta’s struggles, and the collapse of Situational…

PLTR $440B

Steve Eisman Aug 7 14 clicks

[scuttleslops] BKNG, ABNB, SHOP, LPX, TREX, XYZ

Booking Holdings beat Q2 guidance as room nights grew 5%; connected trips, merchant payments and Genius loyalty strengthened direct…

BKNG $126B

scuttleblurb Aug 7 9 clicks

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 8 clicks

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $99B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 2 clicks

CHRW · long

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.

CHRW $18B

Value Investors Club May 17

Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking

Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…

ABNB $90BBKNG $126B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 7 6 clicks

DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant

DoorDash’s 2Q 2026 orders rose 27% and marketplace GOV grew 36%, with DashPass driving a slight acceleration in U.S. restaurant demand.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 6 2 clicks

Spotify 2Q'26: Pressing the Monetization Lever

Spotify reached 300 million Premium subscribers in 2Q26 and is increasing free-service friction in emerging markets to lift conversion and…

SPOT $109B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 5 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…

ODFL $36B

scuttleblurb Jul 30

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.

TSCO $17B

Bearhold Research Jul 23 1 click

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

Boston Scientific built its interventional-medicine portfolio through acquisitions, but early-2000s growth became heavily dependent on the…

BSX $63B

scuttleblurb Jul 20 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…

SNPS $74B

scuttleblurb Jul 16 2 clicks

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…

FOX $25B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 28 1 click

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 1 click

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Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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