Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
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From X
Tim Eriksen on X
Cedar Creek Partners Q1 letter released. Fund was up 6.8% in Q1, net of fees and expenses. $SODI $ENDI $EXCE $PHIF $HRBR $STLE $SLBK $RVRF https://t.co/d794sYsHAT
Tim Eriksen on X
Allbirds' $BIRD ownership-change measure excludes founding Class B shares older than three years and counts changes by FMR, Ghost Angel, Vanguard, BlackRock and recent B-holder grants.
Tim Eriksen on X
So PaperClip (expert: $PCPJ) issues an important press release but somehow it ends up under an incorrect ticker for China Dongsheng. Do they not realize they can correct these things? https://t.co/pULXthDnYq
Tim Eriksen on X
ECIP recipient, Citizens Bancshares $CZBS announces $4 million repurchase program. About 5% of market cap. https://t.co/cXfWhyXnSF
Nat Stewart on X
Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Citi $C Expands Customer Engagement and Commerce Media Capabilities With Addition of Kard - https://t.co/A0DL3zGdiS
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$BAFN registers all the $3.50 stock. Document https://t.co/S4JoztfY0r
Timyan Bank Alert on X
HBT Financial to acquire Tri-County Financial in $204.6M deal $HBT $TYFG https://t.co/27xbZI2Ai5
Investor Letters
All letters- Hayden Capital 3rd Quarter 215A $1.1B
- Hayden Capital 4th Quarter EDU $9.1B
- Sequoia Fund 2025 GOOGL $4.2T
- Sequoia Fund first quarter of 2026
- Palm Harbour Capital fourth quarter LNA $428M
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023 TKMAF $7.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Maran Capital Management second quarter SPCX
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham KSTR 2026-08-27 KSTR: Exposure To China's Chips And Potential Diversifier For SOXX
Chetan Woodun ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
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