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Ian Bezek on X
Nubank and Inter face Brazilian election risk as Lula is expected to win despite stronger polling for Flavio.
Ian Bezek on X
@davey_juice @ThainRos I remember someone wanting to bet me that Nigeria would outperform Colombia over the long term. $COLO now +150% past three years while the Nigeria ETF got delisted, so yeah, about that.
Lee Roach on X
Rayonier, $RYN, carries a $7.4 billion enterprise value and four million acres, implying $1,817 per acre plus a dividend.
Chris Camillo on X
@Freedom2Fart not a swing trader. and not that it matters, but the $AMZN trade in question was a one day options trade into expiration. fully exited.
marginofdanger on X
Horizon Technology Finance, $LIEN, trades at $10.20 versus $13.26 NAV and yields 13.3% as its all-stock REFI deal nearly doubles assets to about $800 million.
marginofdanger on X
Sachem Capital trades at $10.20 versus $13.26 NAV and yields 13.3%; its all-stock REFI deal will double assets above $600 million, concentrated in cannabis credit.
Ian Bezek on X
@WaterworldCapi1 Copying industry best practices from $OKLO https://t.co/VnEtGXDOn0
Maj Soueidan on X
OCC’s backlog implies $0.25 EPS using historical conversion multiples, while RFIL has a stronger plan to reduce cyclicality. Both benefit from recovering telecom demand and growing data-center exposure.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $136M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $105M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5B
- Sequoia Fund First Half of 2026
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8T
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Maran Capital Management second quarter SPCX
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review
NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Go Stub Yourself
Vistance Networks’ Aurora stub trades at an implied 4.1x EBITDA after $10.5 billion and $1.846 billion asset sales, with DOCSIS 4.0 demand…
Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner
Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…
Earnings Updates and A Software Shot in the Dark
Ategrity Specialty’s 30% premium growth, stable reserves and $50 million buyback target an undervalued, thinly traded specialty insurer.
Tis The (Earnings) Season
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
Carving Up the TPU
Google’s TPUs give it vertically integrated AI training and inference economics as Anthropic and Meta consider adoption, challenging…
$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin
United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
Braemar Hotels & Resorts: Internalizing Management
Braemar Hotels & Resorts is internalizing its management.
Investcorp Credit Management BDC: Visiting the Private Credit Garbage Bin
Investcorp Credit Management BDC is framed as a troubled corner of private credit.
SBM – capital flight triggers another all-time high
SBM, Monaco’s largest company, reaches another all-time high as capital flows back to Europe and boosts the Principality’s property-heavy…
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