Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Today
From X
mavix on X
Leatt reported Q1 2026 revenue growth of 27%, led by 49% D2C growth, while EBIT rose 62% and operating cash flow reached $4.5 million.
mavix on X
Shelly Group reported Q1 2026 revenue growth of 25.9%, EBIT growth of 30.4%, and a 25.9% EBIT margin. Free cash flow rose 77.5% and DSO improved by 24 days.
mavix on X
April 2026 portfolio update lists holdings including Centrotec, Evolution, Secunet, Leatt, Toyokumo, Biorem, Circle, Lindbergh, Shelly Group and ErreDue.
Laughing Water Capital on X
Friendly reminder that $MRK is well positioned and well incentivized to purchase $LQDA. Yutrepia fits very well with Merck's respiratory portfolio. https://t.co/JAdLguTw7D
Laughing Water Capital on X
NN says joint testing has been needed for two years and alleges opposition has resisted it.
Laughing Water Capital on X
GSK reportedly made three bids for AnaptysBio over the past year, making the trial outcome a potential determinant of sale price rather than a barrier to a deal.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@FriendlyCapMgmt @thecontracap there have been some things i view as negative for $ANAB and some that are positive. but in my view in order to make this investment you have to focus on the future cashflows, not the trial.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@cfrischer1 The use cases for satellite part 15 are extremely limited, & to suggest this is bad for $NN is silly. If there is interference or not is the only thing that matters whether on land or in space.
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund year ended December 31, 2025 +22.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital 2022 Q4
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
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