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Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack 6h ago 2 clicks

11h ago COHR $52B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 3 clicks

23h ago SIRI $9B

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

Eagle Point Capital 11 clicks

From X

@P_Remarks Oct 7 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

$24b in equity from the gulf funds cut Larry’s personal guarantee by 50%. Liontree, Redbird, and the non Larry Ellison family money cuts it further Another $orcl boogeyman story that’s a nothingburger https://t.co/QifC1wSxtE

@StableBread Oct 7

Fajasy on X

@UncleAlpha007 @burningbushcap @mkfilko @JonahLupton TCV/EV leaves out the capex each contract needs before it bills. $BRUN's own ratio is 1.2-1.4x TCV/capex, so the $525M deal implies ~$375-440M of GPUs up front. Most of that rides on Dell and lease financing, tho the first $20M software license installment is due this month too.

@negligible_cap Oct 7

Negligible Capital on X

At this point $NKE and $LULU should just merge to create one big piece of shit

@orrdavid Oct 7 1 click

David Orr on X

I bought the dip in the RV parts company $PATK in 2022. Back then everyone was sure we'd have a recession even though we had super negative real rates. Today $PATK is once again down 50%+, a spot I usually contemplate buying. However, today nobody is talking about a recession (except the perma doomers who don't count) and we have super positive real rates. The housing market is also weak, vs very strong back then. IE Home owners (a big group) suddenly had a lot more cash than they had a few years prior. That setup is gone today, too. I don't think I'll buy $PATK this time. It'll be the first time since I started that I pass on the opportunity. The whole setup here is very concerning for the general market, something I try not to think about too much.

@majgeoinvesting Oct 7

Maj Soueidan on X

Tomorrow’s @GeoInvesting Open Forum is going to be a good one … Topics include: $PPIH $SIF $FEIM $IEHC $OCC $LEAT $BUKS $PXHI https://t.co/9uSE1PY6Le https://t.co/2ufzLyHqXX

@leevalueroach Oct 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

A leaked GameStop $GME memo has used PlayStations trading 50% higher than MSRP because of GTA release. GameStop about to print money into the end of the year. https://t.co/niu0IXZytS

@AsifSuria Oct 7

Asif Suria on X

@_99Paul99 I've been patiently waiting for it. Hopefully a deal for $LION comes in high enough to satisfy Feltheimer, Mnuchin and Rachesky.

@AsifSuria Oct 7

Asif Suria on X

What a powerhouse. Almost makes me wish Netflix $NFLX had succeeded in closing this deal. It will be interesting to see the trajectory of Skydance's $SKYD net debt on the balance sheet over time. While David Zazlav and Warner Bros. Discovery $WBD were criticized a lot for creating a highly leveraged behemoth, they had been consistently paying down that debt:

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Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.7B

Tim Travis 24h ago 1 click

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman 37h ago 12 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital 35h ago

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 39h ago 5 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 39h ago 11 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 39h ago 3 clicks

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…

GLOO $298M

Guardian Research 40h ago 11 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783MNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research 42h ago 9 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary 43h ago 2 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 34 clicks

MG · long

Mistras Group INC

Mistras Group is a rare publicly traded US non-destructive testing pure play, providing quality assurance for materials, components and…

MG $664M

Value Investors Club Jul 20

DexCom: The 15-Day Sensor Lowered The Cost Curve Before The Type 2 Wave Arrives

DXCM $33B

Equity Eagle 5h ago

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 6 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 16 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 11 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 22 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 25 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 13 clicks

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 11 clicks

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