Saturday, November 14, 2026

Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis

DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash…

Paymentus: The $2 Billion Vision Maintains My Buy Rating

PAY $4.3B

SA Tech and Growth 34h ago

This Week in Special Situations: Coursera, eToro, Fluor, Trade Desk

Coursera trades at roughly $150 million enterprise value after Pale Fire Capital took 14.7%, with cash and Treasuries covering 83% of its…

Qure Anniversary Update

UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.

Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade

Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…

Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty

F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…

AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.

International Seaways: Q3 Earnings Point To A Stronger Q4

International Seaways reported $291.4 million of Q3 adjusted net income and has 53% of Q4 booked at strong spot rates, supporting projected…

INSW $5.4B

SA Kevin Avroutskii Nov 12 3 clicks

Peloton: Beyond The Bike

Peloton’s connected-fitness subscribers fell 9% year over year to 2.475 million, with another high-single-digit holiday decline forecast as…

DHT Holdings: Over A 20% Dividend In A Single Quarter

DHT Holdings earned $1.68 per share in Q3 and projects Q4 EPS of $4.25, supporting a single-quarter dividend above 20% at projected spot…

DHT $3.6B

SA Melissa Tucker Nov 12 6 clicks

AEGXF · long

Aecon Group Inc.

Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.

Jet2 Earnings and easyJet's Takeover (JET2); Concerns at TerraVest (TVK.TO)

Jet2 reported £551 million PBT and launched a £250 million buyback, while Apollo’s easyJet offer values the rival at 10x EV/EBIT.

What I've Been Reading (7/5-7/12)

Meditation Capital favors niche software companies with durable domain expertise, citing AI-driven Braze growth, Workiva’s 2030 targets and…

What Amazon Can't Buy

Betterware de Mexico sells locally designed home organizers through direct sellers in informal neighborhoods, generating 67% gross margins;…

Matan on Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…

Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…

Three Tempting Ideas with Major Caveats

Molson Coors trades at 6.2x free cash flow and offers a roughly 15% shareholder yield, but declining beer volumes could make it a value…

Half-Year Returns + Short Portfolio Update

Emerging Moats returned 30.57% since July 2024 versus 43.37% for the S&P 500, with Oscar Health accounting for half its gains and a…

Double Down Interactive (DDI): Update

DoubleU’s $11.25-per-share bid for DoubleDown Interactive values its operating business at 0.25-0.7x EBITDA; minority holders can block it…

Quick Value #321 - Mobility Global (MBGL)

Mobility Global, S&P Global’s automotive-data spin-off, trades at about 10x 2026 EBITDA and 12x EPS after technical selling.