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Friday, November 13, 2026

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The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

AIG $43B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 2 clicks

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@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

I wanted to think about it for a bit before responding and time go away from me this week. I think NBCU makes a lot of sense as an acquisition for Netflix $NFLX given its size and the optionality it provides the company. However beyond the tax part, getting this deal through antitrust will not be easy and integration will be even harder given all the moving parts to an organization of NBCU's size and Netflix's current culture as a tech company. $LION is much easier tuck-in acquisition on both those fronts.
@kevin__mak

Kevin Mak on X

$CMPS Some questions about the CNPV program being shelved and how it will affect Compass' application. The honest answer is "nobody knows", though FDA has said on the record that career staff are still reviewing applications that already hold a voucher (a bit vague!). My hope is that they continue the existing process. CMPS (and Usona) have been on a rolling submission, so there is an established workflow to "keep the ball moving". See the transcript below for a sense of the relationship they've built with the FDA over the past months. Also, my guess is that 30-70% (yes, wide range) of the review is already "done", so FDA isn't starting from scratch as of the Nov 9th submission date. Even if they reallocate resources and "slow things down", I could see a plausible slowdown case where it takes 3-4 months (instead of 1-2 months on a full CNPV program, but not the 8-12 months of the regular non-CNPV track). Disclosure: Creek Drive and its affiliated funds holds a long position in CMPS. Views expressed are current opinions for information only, subject to change and are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves the risk of loss and past performance is not indicative of future performance. See the disclosures link in my bio for more important information. -- Related/unrelated, the "race" between Usona and Compass is actually kind of moot. The actual "approval effective date" will likely be the DEA rescheduling date. Once the FDA gives the nod to EITHER drug, that starts the process on DEA rescheduling (which people are guessing will take around 90 days).

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QXO Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026

QXO's Q3 sales rose 79% to $4.9 billion after TopBuild and Kodiak acquisitions, while acquisition debt lifted interest expense to $163…

QXO $13B
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 2 clicks
ABG · long

Asbury Automotive Group INC

Asbury Automotive Group's changed setup and underperformance versus other public dealers form the basis for a renewed long thesis.

ABG $3.6B
Value Investors Club

House of Weichai

Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…

PSIX $909M
Maius Partners 3 clicks

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

STM $41BNVTS $2.7B
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 4 clicks

The Offshore Message From Oslo

Offshore drillers have secured 105 rig-years by September, 42% above all of 2025, as national oil companies lock up long-term capacity.

RIG $5.9B
Cannibal Stocks 2 clicks

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $30B
Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

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