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Thursday, November 12, 2026

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Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis

DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.

DDI $779M
The Value Road 2 clicks

From X

@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

Yesterday we recorded a podcast covering two potential deal situations including rumors of Marvell $MRVL acquiring Lumentum $LITE. The deal was confirmed a few minutes before the podcast was uploaded to YouTube this morning. As a Marvell shareholder I was not particularly happy about this deal as I discussed in the podcast and the price action late last week and this morning confirms the market feels the same way. You can check out the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and YouTube here:
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

No TOYO Co., Ltd $TOYO insider has reported an open-market purchase since reporting began in March, even as the stock fell 77.5% from its June peak. $TOYO replaced its CEO, Chairman, and CFO in 2026 and added a strategy chief: → Takahiko Onozuka (Chairman and CEO since March 18, 2026): Spent 28 years at the Export-Import Bank of Japan, which became the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC), then nearly 13 years at Sumitomo Corporation (a Japanese trading conglomerate), where the 20-F lists him as “an assistant to the general manager.” He ran the Global Decarbonization Promoting Office at Abalance (the Japanese group that controls $TOYO) from September 2025, six months before taking over $TOYO. → Yasunari Harada (CFO and Director since July 1, 2026): Has 30+ years in finance, then served as President of HS Holding, a Japanese holding company, from December 2021 to June 2026. → Rhone Resch (Chief Strategy Officer since March 29, 2026): Ran the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) from 2004 to 2016 and Cygnus Solar, a heterojunction (HJT) cell maker, from 2021 to 2024. He works for $TOYO part-time. Harada also controls NOTAM, a Japanese company that bought into $TOYO through a private placement tied to $TOYO’s SPAC deal and now holds 1,058,918 $TOYO shares, 2.5% of the company, so the new CFO arrived as one of $TOYO’s larger shareholders. Three senior executives left between September 2025 and June 2026: 1) Junsei Ryu (Chairman and CEO): Retired on March 18, 2026, days after giving up his representative role at Abalance, staying on as a board advisor for 12 months. 2) Liang “Simon” Shi (President): The former CEO of the SPAC that took $TOYO public, appointed President in October 2024, resigned in September 2025 “but continues with Abalance group.” 3) Taewoo “Raymond” Chung (CFO and Director): CFO since March 2024 and an Abalance finance executive since January 2024, resigned on June 30, 2026, with no disagreement cited. $TOYO’s directors and officers only had to start reporting their trades on March 18, 2026, under the Holding Foreign Insiders Accountable Act. Since then, no $TOYO insider has reported an open-market purchase or sale. Ryu, no longer an officer or director, doesn’t file Form 4s at all, so changes to his stake would only show up in Schedule 13D or 13G filings. Among outside holders, N.A. Global, a Japanese investor, sold 451,571 shares between February and June 2026, including 377,320 from May 20 to June 24, around the June 4 peak. So there’s no insider buying to lean on, and the only selling reported in 2026 came from an outside holder, mostly during the May-June run.
@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

Burn-in testing puts chips through demanding conditions to help identify devices likely to fail early in use. Aehr Test Systems ($AEHR) supplies wafer-level burn-in systems. Cohu ($COHU) supplies equipment for other semiconductor tests. This testing becomes more valuable as manufacturers combine more chips into expensive packages and systems. One weak component can cause problems for an assembly worth far more than the chip itself. Finding that weakness before the equipment reaches a customer can therefore justify spending more on testing, because the failure can affect the larger assembly.
@aleabitoreddit 1 click

Serenity on X

$LITE standalone would likely be up on earnings after their new $5B CPO/NPO announcement (separate from $NVDA). The margins on that are likely 60%+… which shows how profitable laser players would be at scale. (Greensboro alone would be $5B revenue/year) In terms of the $MRVL deal: - Extremely positive for Marvell strategically. Also makes remaining laser players very valuable - $LITE shareholders can cry though about the 1+ year overhang until deal goes through in 2028. There’s less independent price discovery as well since a lot of it will be pegged around 4.5 Marvell shares : 1 - I think Lumentum shareholders probably would be happier if Marvell shares didn’t crash before the deal was announced.. since it was originally valuing $LITE at $115B with a 23.9% premium. - Marvell dropping does show the downside of the deal straight away though, if it rose then $LITE shareholders might be a tad happier given valuation. Having a fixed dollar MC value floor probably would have been better than the 4.5x:1 ratio. There was a lot of long $LITE, short ___ pressuring other photonics valuations, so at least those trade pairs might unwind now

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Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26

Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025…

TPL $19B
Rebound Capital 1 click

Peloton: Beyond The Bike

Peloton’s connected-fitness subscribers fell 9% year over year to 2.475 million, with another high-single-digit holiday decline forecast as…

PTON $2.6B
TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks
MONOY · long

Monotaro CO LTD

MonotaRO, traded as MONOY in the U.S. and 3064 in Japan, is a Japanese MRO distributor recommended as a long.

MONOY $7.4B
Value Investors Club

DoorDash’s FBA Moment

DoorDash’s $17 billion Instacart deal targets DashMart warehouse scale, where 99%+ order accuracy and faster delivery address the limits of…

DASH $78BKR $41B
MBI Deep Dives 3 clicks

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