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Thursday, November 12, 2026

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Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26

Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025 free cash flow.

TPL $19B
Rebound Capital 1 click

From X

@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

Regarding $NBIS earnings results: To show you how fast they're growing... from Q2 to Q3: Revenue: $582.3M -> $980.8M (+68% QoQ) Adjusted EBITDA: $236.2M -> $465.8M (+97% QoQ) AI cloud adj. EBITDA margin: 49.7% -> 53.2% Net Income: −$190.4M -> −$37.5M ARR has reached $6.4B at the end of Sep. In terms of management commentary: - Since start of Q3, Nebius signed $12B+ of new contracts - Average GPU pricing rose 20%+ sequentially, payback shortened from 22M -> 19M - On Q3 deals, prepayments covered 100% of associated capex, up from 50–60% in Q2 (insane for financing) - Contract value per MW exceeded $25M+ from Q3 up from ~$20M Q2 - 5GW contracted power year end With $10B of committed customer prepayments in 2026 and $17B-$20B in 2027. Now, prepayments and borrowing against existing contracts covers ~75-85% of 2027 capex. On subsidiaries: 1. Avride - 250 autonomous vehicles fleet, over 100,000 passenger rides (with companies like $UBER). Fully driverless robotaxi targeted H1 2027. 2. Toloka - Revenue doubled sequentially 3. Enterprise cloud - Databricks and Datadog selected Neibus. Along with a new agreement with Snowflake. 4. Tavily - Over 3M developers now with $IBM post-training a core partner. 5. ClickHouse - Nothing about new secondary valuations, but we can see valuations growing 6. TokenFactory - Contract value grew 17x sequentially The primary negative I saw was that 2026 guidance is now on the lower end (near ~$3B), due to $MSFT capacity deliveries slipping to Q2 2027. Apparently there was an execution miss with a third party partner DataOne. Temporary generators were retired amid permitting issues before enough $BE fuel cell capacity came online. Capex also increased in 2026 from $20B-$25B to $27B, while revising revenue expectations downward. So near-term unfortunate headwinds kinda reminiscent of AOI earnings; however long term I think Nebius will take care of you. For 2027 outlook: - $12-13 billion revenue, capex of $40-45 billion, pre-tax breakeven by the end of 2027. Very operationally bullish, as seen with prepayments covering capex, GPU premiums increasing. Main downside is near-term execution risk from third parties, causing near-term delays and revenue recognition. Great quarter from Nebius overall.
@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

As the headlines and memes arrive fast and furious on this feed regarding the latest revelations on Jensen, one name from yesteryear keeps coming to mind: Hank Greenberg. Is Jensen the Hank Greenberg of this cycle? The circumstances of their departures are quite different, but the implications could have meaningful parallels. $AIG had its tendrils in EVERYTHING at the peak of Hank's powers, just as $NVDA is in every nook and cranny of the AI trade today. Both companies ascended to an endemic status in their respective industries because of their leader's guile, will, aggressive use of capital, and other "financing arrangements". We know what happened with $AIG and the financial system in the post Hank-era, what's in store for $NVDA and all of the AI ecosystem players that rely on Jensen's backstops and other forms of circularity?

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DoorDash’s FBA Moment

DoorDash’s $17 billion Instacart deal targets DashMart warehouse scale, where 99%+ order accuracy and faster delivery address the limits of…

DASH $78BKR $41B
MBI Deep Dives 3 clicks

Sea Ltd Earnings Update: Q3 2026

Sea Ltd reported Q3 2026 revenue of $8.6 billion, up 43.4% year over year, while net income rose 34.0%.

SE $45B
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 7 clicks
ADBE · long

Adobe INC

Adobe's dual network effects and platform entrenchment make AI fears a buying opportunity for the software compounder.

ADBE $92B
Value Investors Club 1 click

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.

PYPL $49B
Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter

Rebound Watchlist: July 2026

Rebound Capital's July 2026 watchlist puts AeroVironment and Coinbase under review after UnitedHealth rose more than 70% from its low.

COIN $36B
Rebound Capital

New Position: Volatility Merchant

A digital market-infrastructure platform dominant in rates and expanding in credit trades at 22 times free cash flow, with 45%+ FCF margins…

TW $28B
Aurelion Research

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