Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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From X
Mikro Kap David on X
What's stopping $WSTL (former holding) from returning some cash to shareholders? They were doing so well on the buyback front in late 2024 and early 2025. At this rate, people will mistake it for a 🇯🇵 co, with $40M+ in net cash against a $65M market cap.
Calvin Blissett on X
Munger misses things, Malone is worth learning from and anyone would’ve been lucky to hitch their wagon along to the TCI ride. He also missed $CACC. He did call Valeant though using the same framework. He’s been much more right than wrong which is what matters
SG on X
record pawn loans...an early sign of financial distress for lower-income Americans? $EZPW
Mikro Kap David on X
"As has always been the case, we would rather pass on a loan than make one we are not comfortable with." ~no bank ever Jk...from Q3 $TYBT letter
Cluseau Investments on X
$MRX has some form of financial bipolar disorder. Up or down $4 regularly with zero news
George Noble on X
I am also seriously thinking about increasing my $CRWV position here. One slight difference. You are getting destroyed as a long while I am short from $107!
Investor Letters
All letters- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7BHUT $6.6B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $65BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $399MFNCHF $506M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $32BSNSNF $1.8B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $70MPLT $95M
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BCNSWF $50B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon
WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…
Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…
A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile
Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…
TransMedics: 2027 Setting Up To Be A Pivotal Year
TransMedics targets multi-organ transplant growth through 2027 trials, OCS Kidney and European expansion after Q3 revenue rose 41% to $203…
Conviction Queue 
I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.
Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…
Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)
Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…
Alan Sumler 1 click
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
AI is Heading for a Massive Oversupply: Top Hedge Fund Manager’s Prediction | David Orr
David Orr argues AI compute capex will create a major oversupply, pressuring semiconductor trades, software moats and white-collar wages…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
TPLKF · long PVA Tepla
PVA TePla (XTRA:TPE) is presented as a long position.
Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review
Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…
Smart Shooter (TASE: SMSH) — The Company That Teaches an Ordinary Rifle to Hit a Drone
Smart Shooter sells AI-enabled rifle sights that track drones and release shots only when likely to hit, trading near 55 times likely 2025…
Lasers for CPO/NPO: Part 2 – Lumentum’s Technology and Moat
Lumentum’s UHP laser platform for CPO/NPO uses cavity-length and grating design to suppress linewidth broadening, with reliability and…
Apocalypse Now or Generational Buying Opportunity?
ServiceNow, SAP and Veeva are framed as AI-resistant SaaS bargains after a sector selloff, with ServiceNow positioned to gain from AI-agent…
RI(N)sing higher
RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.
Eddie Lampert and AutoZone, Part 2: A Fragmented Industry & A Long Runway
AutoZone held an estimated 6.7% share of the $29.9 billion ex-tire auto parts market in 1996, leaving a long consolidation runway in a…
$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin
United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…
Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future
Boston Scientific built its interventional-medicine portfolio through acquisitions, but early-2000s growth became heavily dependent on the…
Getting Paid 10% for a Ringside Seat at the Braemar Circus with a potential 2x payout
Braemar’s BHR-PB preferred trades near $13 against a $25 liquidation preference, yielding 10% amid hotel sales, a $480 million Ashford…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
