Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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A Capital on X
The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.
George Noble on X
@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?
Calvin Blissett on X
@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too
A Capital on X
@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?
Myles on X
Shorts that aren't actually that overvalued (a 10+15% grower trading at 30x earnings can be overvalued, but still easily trade to 40-50x). Sizing is very important. Stuff like $CBA, $WDFC, $WMT, $WING have been some of my biggest winners this year with no catalyst.
A Capital on X
My favorite part of this $OWL article… What possible value could investment bankers see in a full or partial sale of the business that the public market is apparently missing?
Lee Roach on X
Wall Street finally started to see the GameStop $GME transformation. Dan Ives just made a comment on the company. Wait until other sheep start piling into the story.
Investor Letters
All letters- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7BHUT $6.6B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $65BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 PNI $2.6B
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $32B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BCNSWF $50B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- Tweedy, Browne Q3 2026 ACI $6BAPTV $8.1B
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
Sea Ltd Earnings Update: Q3 2026
Sea Ltd reported Q3 2026 revenue of $8.6 billion, up 43.4% year over year, while net income rose 34.0%.
CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
CoreWeave reported 168% revenue growth to $3.66 billion, but $20.4 billion of trailing free cash outflow and $42.7 billion in net debt keep…
Irreplaceable Assets, Explosive Growth, On Sale: LandBridge Q3 2026 Update
LandBridge’s Q3 revenue rose 39%, while newly acquired pore space could lift pro forma EBITDA and cut its 2027 EV/EBITDA multiple from…
Constellation Software 3Q26 Recap: When 2% is Good
Constellation Software’s 3Q26 organic revenue grew 2%, while $609 million of acquisitions and improving acquired-business margins supported…
CoreWeave: This still doesn’t look like a good business
CoreWeave's Q3 report leaves its data-center business looking structurally unattractive despite major changes since the prior earnings…
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Joby Aviation reported $55.1 million in Q3 revenue, raised 2026 guidance to $135 million to $140 million, and expects FAA pilot training in…
MARA Holdings Q3: Massive Deleveraging Sets The Stage For The AI Colocation Premium
MARA Holdings cut debt by $1.4 billion after an $885 million Bitcoin gain, while 1.9 GW of energy assets and a $79 million GPU contract…
Mandela Amoussou 1 click
OSW · short One Spa World
OneSpaWorld (OSW) faces about 37% downside as its valuation requires unattainable growth in average revenue per customer after major-market…
Super Micro Computer: The Story Is Getting Better And Better (Rating Upgrade)
Louis Gerard 1 click
Research update
S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q3 Earnings
Occidental Petroleum generated $4.3 billion of Q3 EBITDA and cut principal debt to $10 billion, but each $1 WTI decline reduces annual…
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Rocket Lab reported Q3 revenue up 73% to $267.8 million and backlog up 52% to $3.57 billion, but Neutron’s first flight slipped to 2027 and…
Vir Biotechnology: Fairly Valued After Phase 3 Success?
Vir Biotechnology’s hepatitis delta therapy posted 44% primary endpoint success in Phase 3, alongside a new Gilead partnership and $991.3…
Cypriot Invests 1 click
The AutoNation Story
AutoNation shed rentals and megastores, focused on dealerships, and retired 91.1% of its shares through buybacks after its 1990s roll-up…
Celestica: Why I See The Recent Crash As A Bullish Opportunity
Celestica trades at 9.6 times projected 2027 adjusted EPS after an 83% Q3 revenue gain, while lower free cash flow guidance reflects growth…
Ryan Canady 2 clicks
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXV
Quanta Services’ backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, while AI power and data-center construction demand…
No title
SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…
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