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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

How magnanimous of Michael Intrator at $CRWV to halt his 10b5-1 stocks sales. Checking filings. Looks like he sold 10MM shares for roughly $1B in gross proceeds (mostly this year). The three founders combined cashed out $3.3B of stock since the IPO. No doubt this stock can be a fantastic trading vehicle given its volatility (250% implied vol into the print), but if you're thinking of this in any longer term context, management already told you what they REALLY think of the business on a longer term horizon....
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

There's a lot of news about WT (3036) introducing their first CW DFB laser line card. More significant than people think for medium-long term. For economic impact and what revenue looks like: - $SMTC generated 74% of its revenue through distributors. $AMBA as another example, ~60-70% of their 2026 revenue went through this company. - With WT in specific, if you look at even a large company like $AVGO scaled: -> 13% of Broadcom revenue went through WT in 2020 -> 18% (2021) -> 20% (2022) -> ~21% (2023) -> ~28% (2024) -> now possibly up to ~46% (they stopped naming) Just showing how important the largest distributors in the world become to semi companies. Given how WT chairman attributed rapid growth coming from AI photonics demand (eg. DSPs to optical module makers): It becomes more interesting for a certain company that WT introduced their first CW DFB laser line card during an industry bottleneck.
@aleabitoreddit 1 click

Serenity on X

You heard 10x demand for compute > supply from $CRWV today. Hearing from $TSM today on Nikkei Forum: "The demand on our leading node [most advanced] silicon is insatiable" Customers "want to get [their] hands around any compute capability they can have. It's truly an insatiable environment." Q: Whether AI demand was slowing? A: "we did not see any sign of slowdown" Q: How demand compared with TSMC’s ability to supply A: "the demand actually is still far above our capability today to supply." TSMC identified power and substrates as bottlenecks customers were encountering. On the mid-to-high-50s annualized growth estimate for AI accelerator revenue from 2024 to 2029. Wei said "it probably will be higher." Describing things as "insatiable" from a traditionally conservative company... doesn't quite look like any collapse in AI demand.

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Research update

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