Another High-Premium, Multi-Billion-Dollar Canadian Oil Deal
Strathcona Resources will acquire Greenfire Resources for C$2.8 billion including debt, valuing the Canadian heavy-oil producer at up to a 39% premium.
Tuesday, November 10, 2026
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From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Agreed, $GOOG was cheaper at the time, but it was still 10x-ish revenues at the time. Tech multiples were different at the time and the tech crash was still fresh in investor’s memories. Search was also still intensely competitive. I’ve been impressed with $ANT’s capital efficiency, operating leverage, and profitability to date. I think there are a lot of similarities.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I am short $SPCX. It has a giant market cap, everyone and their brother (endowments and VCs included) is full up on the stock, and most of the company's big growth initiatives are capital intensive and aimed at highly competitive industries. Oh, and Elon is persona non grata in Washington now.
Prepared Remarks on X
Was there any reason for the $bkd rip into the close? +5% in 30 minutes on decent volume and from -5% intraday
Myles on X
@valuedrift @irbezek $KORU has way higher financing costs. The $SOXL and $SOXS are only like .5% above risk free. Koru significantly underperforms it's underlying. It's actually the better short even with the higher borrow. (I'm short to hedge some SK positions).
Barbarian Capital on X
Toyota Plans to Sell a Kei Pickup Truck in the U.S. $TM
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
@gr8t4ver @ArbLens Probably closed tonight or signed a short 5 day extension. California would not have approved unless $WU signed-off on whatever the conditions were. No chance they walk or renegotiate. $IMXI might not even trade tomorrow.
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $525M
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $233B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BASML $576B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- Auxier Asset Management Third Quarter 2026 META $1.6TAMZN $2.9T
- Mawer Investment Management Third Quarter 2026 2059 $25BBN $97B
- Marram Investment Management 2026 3rd Quarter CSGP $12BPAY $4.2B
Irreplaceable Assets, Explosive Growth, On Sale: LandBridge Q3 2026 Update
LandBridge’s Q3 revenue rose 39%, while newly acquired pore space could lift pro forma EBITDA and cut its 2027 EV/EBITDA multiple from…
Constellation Software 3Q26 Recap: When 2% is Good
Constellation Software’s 3Q26 organic revenue grew 2%, while $609 million of acquisitions and improving acquired-business margins supported…
Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update
Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Joby Aviation reported $55.1 million in Q3 revenue, raised 2026 guidance to $135 million to $140 million, and expects FAA pilot training in…
Airbnb 3Q26 Business Update: “Growth Mode”
Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights grew 16%; app rebuild, AI-assisted releases and social travel features aim to…
MARA Holdings Q3: Massive Deleveraging Sets The Stage For The AI Colocation Premium
MARA Holdings cut debt by $1.4 billion after an $885 million Bitcoin gain, while 1.9 GW of energy assets and a $79 million GPU contract…
Mandela Amoussou 1 click
Sin of Hubris: Jensen’s Affair Scandal and What It Means for Nvidia, AI Players and the Market
Nvidia faces unverified allegations involving CEO Jensen Huang, a customer executive and claimed China-linked influence over AI chip…
Research update
S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…
Q3 Earnings: XPEL, Liberty Capital, Douglas Dynamics, Strattec, Seaport (XPEL, GLIBA, PLOW, STRT, SEG)
Liberty Capital’s GCI business grew 5% in high-margin healthcare and school contracts, while Quintillion could lift EBITDA to $440 million…
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q3 Earnings
Occidental Petroleum generated $4.3 billion of Q3 EBITDA and cut principal debt to $10 billion, but each $1 WTI decline reduces annual…
MIDD · long Middleby CORP
Middleby trades at about 11 times EBITDA, below its history and peers, as a sharper management focus is expected to address the commercial…
ServiceTitan ($TTAN): The IPO Hangover Has Only Just Begun
ServiceTitan faces slowing growth, a rich valuation, accounting concerns, executive turnover and stock sales by management and legacy…
Notes On Next PLC FY26 Results
Next reported FY26 EPS growth of 17% and free-cash-flow growth of 11%, with international expansion, third-party commissions and online…
Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.
First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…
Between the Vectors: Decoding MongoDB’s Acquisition Math and Executive Exodus
MongoDB’s acquisition math and executive departures.
Water and Power: The Dual Engines Driving LandBridge’s Explosive Growth
LandBridge outlined $300 million in pore-space free cash flow within five years; its Permian data-center project remains proof of concept.
Global Spirits: Q425 Earnings Update
Campari posts three consecutive quarters of accelerating organic sales growth while Diageo and Pernod face deleveraging pressure, with…
Short CNM
Core & Main faces a short thesis centered on the risks in its roll-up strategy.
Single Stock Spotlight #5: Core Natural Resources (CNR)
Core Natural Resources (CNR) trades at 6 times normalized free cash flow, with export thermal coal exposure positioned for LNG disruption…
Douglas Dynamics (PLOW): 50% Market Share, Earnings Rebound, Clear Catalyst | Special Report
Douglas Dynamics controls over 50% of North American professional snowplows; a strong 2025/26 winter and replacement demand are projected…
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Sectors
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