Monday, November 9, 2026

Big Short Investor Explains How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom rests on a handful of companies and hundreds of billions in infrastructure spending, risking recession and a sharp market correction.

NVDA $4.2TORCL $399B

Steve Eisman Nov 9 6 clicks

Nov 9 TTD $7.6B

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 9 AMPL $2.2B

Amplitude (NASDAQ: AMPL) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings (No Paywall)

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

BTW, his stock trades for 10x, posts an ROE of 17% while running with excess capital, and is part of a banking oligopoly in Puerto Rico. $OFG

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

At the RBC FIG Conference this week, a bank CEO referred to himself as "below average". His stock has compounded above 20% since 2017. I know he was being self-deprecating and trying to make the point that his employees were "above average", but it was still shocking to hear. A lot of CEOs with much worse stock performance think very highly of themselves. $OFG

@HaydenCapital Mar 6

Fred Liu on X

Just learned many of Mixue's top lieutenants came from Oppo. $2097.HK 🤯 Another "BBK Mafia" company debuts at $10BN+ (alongside $PDD, J&T, Vivo & Oppo, etc). (Those curious can find background on Duan Yongping & BBK in our $PDD memo:)

@rusholmecapital Mar 1

Rusholme Capital on X

I'm not finding much of interest in this market. Few notes to myself so that I can look back and see how wrong I was: - Software & semi are expensive, but always are. I'm watching $CDW which posted its first revenue growth in a long time - Not finding much of interest in healthcare. Medtech is ex-growth and expensive. Lot of names under pressure from Trump cost cutting - Valuations for financials have gotten stretched. I'm trimming some big winners here - High-ticket consumer goods are struggling, but travel remains strong. Seeing green shoots in Canadian housing. I'm careful with the Canadian cannabis renaissance - Canadian OFS is topping out and transport is getting killed. Several cheap packaging names, but no growth

@HaydenCapital Feb 28 1 click

Fred Liu on X

$APP just up'd its Share Repurchase authorization. Rare to see a positive 8K drop, on a Friday afternoon... was worried for a second😅

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

Anthropic vs Meta: Room to Be Wrong

Anthropic and Meta carry $1.5 trillion valuations on distinct AI bets: Meta directs roughly 60% of capex to MSL, while Anthropic shifts…

META $1.6T

MBI Deep Dives Nov 9 4 clicks

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

DAN $2.3BETN $140B

Value Don't Lie Nov 9 3 clicks

SSR Mining: A Very Well Positioned Company For Long Term Growth

SSRM $5.6B

Daniel Bell Nov 9 1 click

STRL: 80 new electricians a week

Sterling’s $4.1 billion backlog faces Texas permitting risk after a governor proposed a moratorium, while Connexion, Capital Asset Planning…

STRL $9.3B

Trade Ideas Flow Nov 9 3 clicks

One Regulator Could Soon Unlock Altria And Cronos' Cannabis Fortune

Adult-use cannabis rescheduling would open Altria’s 42% Cronos stake to a U.S. market rerating.

MO $129B

Aseity Research Nov 9 4 clicks

Roblox: Capture This Moment

Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.

RBLX $37B

TSOH Investment Research Nov 9 2 clicks

DoorDash and Google

DoorDash and Google.

DASH $78B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Nov 9 8 clicks

Nova: Chip Complexity Is Driving Impressive Growth

Nova Ltd.'s Q3 revenue rose 28.2% as GAA, HBM, advanced DRAM and packaging complexity lifted demand, pushing non-GAAP margins to 35.5%.

NVMI $11B

Daniel James Nov 9 1 click

The TL Podcast for November 9th: The spy who loved me

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faced new revelations after a week of political upheaval and a broad technology-stock sell-off.

NVDA $4.2T

The Technology Letter Nov 8 3 clicks

Jensen Huang’s Affair, The Culper Report, Huang’s Righteousness

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faces an unverified allegation involving a Chinese spy.

NVDA $4.2T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Nov 8 4 clicks

FND · long

FLOOR & DECOR HLDGS

Floor & Decor operates 281 warehouse-format stores selling hard-surface flooring and accessories nationwide.

FND $5.4B

Value Investors Club Aug 11 1 click

Speedrun | Upcoming Events This Week - [November 2 - November 6, 2026]

Week ahead lists Nvidia, earnings, inflation and PPI releases alongside Iran conflict developments.

NVDA $4.2T

P Equity Research Nov 8 2 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Four

Vicor’s Federal Circuit hearing put Foxconn’s disputed patent license under pressure, reinforcing its AI server royalty model and licensing…

VICR $7.8B

CV's Substack Nov 8 3 clicks

Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI

Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than…

MCO $89B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Nov 8 3 clicks

IREN Is Down 71%. Should You Buy the Dip?

IREN has fallen 71% despite AI Cloud revenue rising from $7.3 million to $200 million quarterly and more than $20 billion in contracted…

IREN $8.8B

Daniel Romero Nov 8 2 clicks

NEW POSITION: Google LEAPS

Alphabet bought long-dated GOOGL calls after a 12.6% earnings drop, betting AI monetization and distribution overcome capex pressure and…

GOOGL $3.6T

Hated Moats Nov 8 1 click

Expert Call | EMIB-T Packaging, Glass Core Roadmap & 2027 ABF Substrate Supply Outlook

Intel’s EMIB-T, glass-core roadmap and 2027 ABF substrate supply outlook are the focus of an expert call.

INTC $332B

P Equity Research Nov 8 2 clicks

Ouster Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review (OUST) - Stock Rating: Accumulate

Ouster grew Q3 revenue 50% to $59.3 million, shipped 27,000 sensors and guided Q4 revenue to $61 million to $64 million while posting a…

OUST $2.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 8 7 clicks

Floor & Decor 3Q26: Business Update

Floor & Decor’s 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it cut 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…

FND $5.4B

Speedwell Memos Nov 8 1 click

Floor & Decor 3Q26 Business Update: Profitability Grows Despite Weak Sales

Floor & Decor's 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it slowed 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…

FND $5.4B

Speedwell Research Nov 8 1 click

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Monday, November 9, 2026

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Fred Liu on X

Rusholme Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

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