Monday, November 9, 2026

Anthropic vs Meta: Room to Be Wrong

Anthropic and Meta carry $1.5 trillion valuations on distinct AI bets: Meta directs roughly 60% of capex to MSL, while Anthropic shifts…

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

SSR Mining: A Very Well Positioned Company For Long Term Growth

SSRM $5.6B

SA Daniel Bell 21h ago 1 click

STRL: 80 new electricians a week

Sterling’s $4.1 billion backlog faces Texas permitting risk after a governor proposed a moratorium, while Connexion, Capital Asset Planning…

One Regulator Could Soon Unlock Altria And Cronos' Cannabis Fortune

Adult-use cannabis rescheduling would open Altria’s 42% Cronos stake to a U.S. market rerating.

MO $130B

SA Aseity Research 23h ago 2 clicks

Roblox: Capture This Moment

Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.

DoorDash and Google

DoorDash and Google.

Nova: Chip Complexity Is Driving Impressive Growth

Nova Ltd.'s Q3 revenue rose 28.2% as GAA, HBM, advanced DRAM and packaging complexity lifted demand, pushing non-GAAP margins to 35.5%.

NVMI $8.9B

SA Daniel James 30h ago 1 click

The TL Podcast for November 9th: The spy who loved me

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faced new revelations after a week of political upheaval and a broad technology-stock sell-off.

Jensen Huang’s Affair, The Culper Report, Huang’s Righteousness

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faces an unverified allegation involving a Chinese spy.

PTON · long

Peloton Interactive INC

Peloton trades near $5.50 with a $2.3 billion equity value and $2.7 billion enterprise value after weak December-quarter earnings and its…

$BAX Is Down 80% and Still Not Cheap

Baxter International has fallen 80% yet remains expensive, making it a short candidate.

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

Small FPGAs, Big Problems: The Looming Identity Crisis for Lattice ($LSCC)

Lattice Semiconductor faces an identity crisis in small FPGAs, with a short thesis on $LSCC.

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

Bread Financial ($BFH): When You Outsource Everything Except the Downside

Bread Financial is a short thesis centered on outsourcing operations while retaining downside risk.

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

Future-proofing A Portfolio (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Eagle Point favors McKesson, AutoZone and other physical-network businesses with durable demand, scale moats and lower disruption risk than…

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.