Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI
Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than investors fear.
Monday, November 9, 2026
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From X
Calvin Blissett on X
@RockwoodNotes @loneelmcapital Love the equity yield curve mental model, grows more and more relevant daily. Your $OMC thesis is they are insulated from AI because they have become akin to a warehouse of ad data? Dispensing it and holding it and tracking it for a fee. Thoroughly enjoy your content
Fajasy on X
Why I like Toast $TOST 🍞 - Mr.Bread https://t.co/tIjMjCrYfT
Barbarian Capital on X
3/n $HOOD CEO @vladtenev on @NoPriorsPod This is the most innovative brokerage by far; expanding ownership (incl via tokenization); also math/math models, origin story https://t.co/nz0sEy5A50
Colin King on X
What an interesting question... is there a repeatable "tough industry" playbook which creates value over time? $DDS is a share cannibal with an ugly looking revenue picture (no growth from 1998-2026 / declining) https://t.co/v8YKS28dN9 https://t.co/7e3nlBYuad
Lee Roach on X
Just got a Pokemon rip offer in the Dunkin Donuts app. $GME is a sleeping giant. https://t.co/8QDb89DOJu
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SN $31B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BCNSWF $53B
- Protean Funds October 2026 LFABF $13BNSIS-B $30B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Third Quarter 2026 BN $96BCNSWF $53B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 PYPL $49B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 ADYEY $32BBEKE $21B
- Impax Asset Management third quarter of 2026 IT $13BMKKGY $22B
- Elm Ridge Management September 2026 NOK $47B
Tower Semiconductor Update, Part Two
Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…
Earnings Review: AMD, MELI, TIC, XPEL, ZTS
AMD’s data-center revenue rose 97%, while MercadoLibre, TIC Solutions, XPEL and Zoetis also report quarterly results.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation Q3: OTC Bonds Outperform Stocks In The Current Market Environment
Blue Owl Capital’s OTC bonds yield up to 6.92% and offer 8.8% levered ROE, while OBDC stock trades at a 25% discount to NAV.
Arbitrage Trader 
The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.
Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout
Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…
Axon 3Q26 Business Update
Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.
Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed
Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…
Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.
Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
The Undercovered Dozen 2 clicks
Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…
Recycle Bin
Used aircraft engines can be repurposed as gas turbines, easing data center power constraints while tightening aviation supply.
Chipotle Stock: The Dip Is A Long-Term Opportunity
Chipotle plans 350 to 400 annual openings and low single-digit same-store sales growth, supported by menu innovation, international…
Jake Blumenthal 
AMRZ · long Amrize
Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.
TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.
Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review
Incyte reported Q3 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, as Opzelura sales rose 36%; a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove an operating…
Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review
Regeneron Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion as Sanofi collaboration revenue jumped 68%, while EYLEA US sales fell 41%.
Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap
Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…
Marvellous Value Destruction
Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…
Nebius: Headlines Look Good But Debt Markets Signal Caution (Rating Downgrade)
Nebius faces refinancing and dilution risks from short-term borrowing and heavy GPU infrastructure spending despite higher rental prices…
Hunting Alphas 2 clicks
Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?
Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.
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Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
