Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Saturday, November 7, 2026

Back to the front page

From X

@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

My cost averages are a lot different. My memory longs were once up +450%, but many are probably down to +50-100% unrealized. I still hold those. Just tax lost harvesting a bit of my $AAOI position over time was a few million realized losses (I'm still long, this is just tax related stuff each month) Can say the same for a lot of other names. There's a lot of volatility and risk management in between, but I think they'll perform well in 2027.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

I found the technical discussion helpful, but investor messaging to be way too conservative. If you look at how $NVDA CEO describes CPO, Jensen states scale up is increasing optical volumes by 15x. $LITE and $COHR are quantifying that by describing $5-$20B agreements spanning 3-5 years out. Having this question, and not talking about Ayar, O-Net, Poet, or ELS partnerships. Then redirecting the question to near term pluggables seems off. The vision also needs work, “communications and sensing” semi company is very unexciting. It’s technically true, but there’s no vision being communicated on being the next $40B optical giant or what Sivers is going to be in the next 5 years that would attract long term holders. The core valuation Sivers gets is from optical opportunities, I also personally disagree that it’s helpful to loop back to former cellular relationships when talking about future $GFS volumes I disagree when you portray the company as “small” when Sivers 100m CW DFB capacity is coming online, alongside large foundry partners. Which is a material % of the world’s annual laser capacity. Investors want to hear about future economic opportunities and how you fill the gap with more qualifications during a bottleneck. Sivers has a tremendous opportunity for CPO/NPO/Pluggables but I’m afraid it’s not being communicated properly. It’s understandable here since EETimes is more technical oriented, but I hope this messaging gets communicated better in the next earnings call.
@AsifSuria 1 click

Asif Suria on X

Exactly! I've been long $LION for a while and violated my rule of never averaging down after @garyHeff made me see that this was one of those cases where an exception made a lot of sense. That was when LGF was trading at around $6. I should have held on to the $STRZ spinoff but I didn't see it the same way you did and that was a mistake. Hoping the deal for $LION is in the high teens or over $20 so Jon can get a wonderful payout based on his new incentive plan.

Investor Letters

All letters

Axon 3Q26 Business Update

Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.

AXON $31B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks
MOH · long

Molina Healthcare INC

Molina Healthcare is presented as a long investment in the widely disliked U.S. health-insurance industry.

MOH $11B
Value Investors Club 4 clicks

The Quality Check #1

The Quality Check #1 reviews recent developments at Arista, Cummins, Veeva, ServiceNow and AppLovin following earnings season.

CMI $67BVEEV $49B
Jimmy's Journal

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.6B
TSOH Investment Research 8 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 74 of 277

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

359 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.