AppLovin 3Q26 Business Update: No Notes
AppLovin’s Q3 revenue rose 55% year over year as AXON model gains expanded margins, while ad take-rate compression remains the key competitive risk.
Thursday, November 5, 2026
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From X
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down.
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Brian McGough on X
Only ONE Firm has a 'Short' on $HELE today... Those $140 price targets are going to have to come down by well over $100...Just sayin...
Brian McGough on X
Congratulations to $HELE management for executing the worst timed stock repo I've ever seen. Buying $100mm in the quarter just shows how little they know about what's actually going on with their business. @HedgeyeRetailJM is this a ZERO?
Brian McGough on X
$HELE elevated on Short list last month, and delivered a killer Black Book outlining why you want to short the name everyone thinks is so damn cheap (which it's not) last week. Stock could still be cut in half from here -- even on a big down move today.
Investor Letters
All letters- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $525M
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $233B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BBKNG $122B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 BABA $255BFLO $1.4B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $396MALM $2.5B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 AAIGF $103BADYEY $32B
- Night Watch Investment Management Q3 2026 AZLGF $3.3BIMCDY $6.7B
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