Wednesday, November 4, 2026

The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)

Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt reduction.

ESRT $1.3B

Orphan REITs Nov 4 6 clicks

Nov 4 HCC $4.3B

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

Nov 4 GPC $17B

GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update

Stock Thoughts 7 clicks

From X

@irbezek Oct 22 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

$EDV (long-duration U.S. bonds) now up 11% from recent levels on a 2.5% decline in the S&P 500. Wonder what happens if $SPY drops 25%... https://t.co/qPbmH2tVba

@catechwilliams Oct 22

catechwilliams on X

$SHAZ Aussie speculative neocloud start-up ($3M LTM rev, >$1B mkt cap). 2H planned capex: $4B vs $800M net cash. Dubious capital & business plan. Yesterday large partner NextDC (ASX:NXT) halted all new projects amidst intensifying local opposition to AI DCs. IR deck slide below. https://t.co/OReSGF8Nh3

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22 3 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@JeffBeckMadDog Missing $NXRT

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@credealjunkie Weird days in my portfolio Calls in $USO up Puts in $IWM and $SPY up Event driven name up REITs up Puts in Coreweave up + 4.3% vs Nasdaq today Some pod long/short factor favoring my positioning I'm not smart like this, I'm not sure if I'm smart at all https://t.co/AOgWSRqhKt

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22 4 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Had Serenity bought the $PSA preferred yielding 7.1%, $964,850 of annual dividend income would've been locked in for life https://t.co/Y24BMKCeeq

@BrokenMoats Oct 22 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Full disclosure my frustration with these dispersion short trades intra ai squeezing has likely emotionally walked me into aggressively shorting a bunch of them today and yesterday after following for weeks in bewilderment. $DOCU $V $APPN $GDDY $PCTY $PAYC $KSS $ROL puts and shares on all. Won't stay forever just for reality to comeback, seems like the goal/twst setup from a few weeks ago

@StableBread Oct 22

Fajasy on X

Continue reading here for where $BWXT could trade by the end of 2027 in my bear, base, and bull cases: https://t.co/bPIYua98gd

@StableBread Oct 22 4 clicks

Fajasy on X

Curtiss-Wright $CW is BWX Technologies’ $BWXT closest comp, and $BWXT trades below it on every measure but FCF yield. Since naval propulsion is close to half of $BWXT’s revenue, its closest comps are other Navy suppliers. Small-reactor developers like Oklo $OKLO and NuScale $SMR wouldn’t work anyway, as they lost $73.2M and $64.0M from operations in Q2 2026, leaving no EBITDA multiple to compare against. So I decided to compare $BWXT with four listed companies building or equipping the same Navy submarines and carriers: → Curtiss-Wright $CW: Pumps, valves, and turbines for the same submarines and carriers, plus reactor coolant pumps for Westinghouse’s AP1000. → Leonardo DRS $DRS: Naval power and propulsion systems, including electric drive equipment for the Columbia-class. → General Dynamics $GD: Builds the submarines through its Electric Boat unit. → Huntington Ingalls $HII: Builds the carriers and submarines at its Newport News shipyard. Here’s how they compare on 2026 estimates (P/E, EV/EBITDA, EV/sales, FCF yield): → $BWXT: 30.7x, 22.5x, 3.95x, 2.64% → $CW: 36.3x, 24.8x, 5.54x, 2.90% → $DRS: 26.9x, 18.4x, 2.48x, 2.78% → $GD: 19.7x, 13.9x, 1.68x, 5.34% → $HII: n/a, 12.3x, 0.98x, 5.28% Note: CW’s, GD’s, and HII’s EBITDA is operating income plus D&A from company guidance, since they don’t guide EBITDA. $BWXT trades above the two shipbuilders, which earn thinner margins. HII guides shipbuilding operating margins of 6.0-6.5% and GD 10.5% overall, vs. $BWXT’s 12.6% GAAP operating margin in 2025. A reasonable EV/EBITDA range for $BWXT is 16-24x, between its own end-2023 multiple and Curtiss-Wright’s today.

DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

DigitalOcean reported Q3 revenue up 40% to $321 million and lifted Q4 guidance above consensus, while GPU and data-center expansion cut…

DOCN $11B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 4 2 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

AA $10BNKE $60B

Aurelion Research Nov 4 4 clicks

L3Harris (LHX) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

L3Harris booked $19.3 billion of Q3 orders, lifting backlog to $53.2 billion, raised FY26 guidance and cut its 2028 free-cash-flow target…

LHX $48B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 4 3 clicks

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

SITC $192MCURB $3.6B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 4 5 clicks

Coupang: 3Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce growth rose 9% as data-leak effects fade, while management expects margins to return to pre-incident levels by…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Memos Nov 4 3 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

CMCSA $84BZG $7.8B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

3Q26 Recap: Margin at Trough, Recovery In-sight

Coupang expects Product Commerce margins to return to pre-data incident levels by mid-2027 as customer spending recovers and Taiwan…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Research Nov 4 2 clicks

update on Gartner

Gartner’s growth has stalled after federal contract losses and cautious commercial spending, raising questions about its competitive…

IT $13B

scuttleblurb Nov 4 1 click

Recycle Bin

Used aircraft engines can be repurposed as gas turbines, easing data center power constraints while tightening aviation supply.

EQT $33BRRC $12B

Doomberg Nov 4 8 clicks

AirSculpt Technologies: A Curious Play On Unit Economics

AirSculpt’s procedure economics remain attractive, but high customer acquisition costs and underused clinics pressure profitability; the…

AIRS $38M

Sanjay Swamy Nov 4 3 clicks

AMRZ · long

Amrize

Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.

AMRZ $22B

Value Investors Club Aug 6 3 clicks

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, as Opzelura sales rose 36%; a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove an operating…

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion as Sanofi collaboration revenue jumped 68%, while EYLEA US sales fell 41%.

REGN $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 1 click

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals accelerates Redwing’s restart, targeting first gold this month and a ramp from 338 ounces monthly to 835 ounces by Q2 2027.

NAMM $46M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Nov 3 6 clicks

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Educational Development (EDUC) – The Book Value Trap

Educational Development trades at 0.21x tangible book after selling its distribution complex to repay debt, but FY26's $2.3m profit masked…

EDUC $8.8M

Dismissed & Asset-Backed Nov 3 1 click

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $5.8BVAL $5.5B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Enterprise Products Partners Pulled 2027 Into 2026 - Energy Transfer Didn't

Enterprise Products Partners has pulled growth spending into 2026, while Energy Transfer’s contracted projects offer clearer EBITDA growth…

EPD $81BET $70B

The Alpha Analyst Nov 3 5 clicks

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Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

catechwilliams on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Broken Moats on X

Fajasy on X

Fajasy on X

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