Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 MRK $371B

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

Doubled up on Softbank. Down 10% when the US AI stocks are only down a few. Shorted some $ARM to offset it. One of these moves is wrong.

@aleabitoreddit Nov 3 1 click

Serenity on X

The rhetoric on X and from Elon leans overwhelmingly apocalyptic on Democrats winning. It's a mini bubble here, but I think people forget AI is bipartisan national security priority, and that $NVDA's historic rally + AI buildout acceleration happened under the Biden admin. Anyone can extrapolate a politician's negative view on AI to doompost indexes or that " $CRWV is going to go down". But in all reality, even with a Democratic governor, we'll likely just see some headwinds to individual developers, and incentives like "clean-energy tax credits" moving to other areas in AI like solar manufacturing. Rather than any market-wide doomsday scenario that the opposing party likes to portray. Even Bitcoin/Ethereum performed better under the negatively perceived regulation of Gary Gensler. Just like any major event, everyone looks at the worst case scenario like helium disruption shutting down Samsung, $TSM, and the memory trade... Then markets move on few weeks later.

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

I reckon a portfolio of short $WMT, $KO (safety trade), $TSLA, $SPCX, $DJT, $UMAC, $GEO (Trump trade) long $SPY probably beats most things over the next 3 months.

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

CVS Will Break Off Its Namesake Pharmacies $CVS https://t.co/MYacYG8iRD

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

"revenue rose to $19.95 billion, up from $5.02 billion a year prior" Super Micro Computer Revenue Surges on AI Infrastructure Demand $SMCI https://t.co/EZJhYAospA

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals’ Injuries Case $MMM https://t.co/PcrK3KhEJT

@finphysnerd Nov 3 1 click

Myles on X

3 10% or larger falls in $QQQ this year and still up 11% YTD. This is why this year has felt so exhausting. No consistent theme or narrative. Sentiment getting whipsawed everywhere. Huge factor rotations. I hope things settle down a bit post midterms. https://t.co/4ztHVmzqYd

@John_Hempton Nov 3

John_Hempton on X

@LucrativeLuApe No ladder attacks. My biggest long is $REGN and I have had a few good days. (Position is >100m.)

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $62BMRVL $150B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIV

Intel maintained after its post-earnings sell-off, with AI inference CPU demand and foundry customer announcements expected to drive a…

INTC $287B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Ignore The Noise And Buy Western Digital

Western Digital's Q1 2027 revenue rose 55% to $4.38 billion as hyperscaler demand lifted non-GAAP EPS 161% to $4.64.

WDC $104B

The Curious Analyst Nov 3 1 click

Stellar results lift shares of AMD, Arista

AMD and Arista beat consensus on quarterly results and outlook, lifting shares and easing AI-growth concerns.

ANET $226B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Apple and Palantir are powerful businesses, maybe not great returns from here

Apple and Palantir reported very strong earnings, but their stocks may deliver weak returns from current levels.

PLTR $429B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 2 clicks

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $20B

CV's Substack Nov 2 5 clicks

Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense

Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…

GRAB $14BUBER $147B

Wavelength Research Nov 2 2 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #4: Global Payments (GPN)

Global Payments trades below 6 times adjusted earnings and about 7 times free cash flow amid Worldpay, competition and debt concerns.

GPN $26B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 13

✅ Buying AI Beneficiaries and Selling One AI-disrupted Business

Sleep Well Portfolio is selling SPS Commerce as AI-vulnerable and adding Veeva, Mercado Libre, Cellebrite and Sea, citing proprietary data,…

VEEV $49B

Sleep Well Investments Mar 12

The Office REIT That Wants to Die (And Pay You on the Way Out)

Net Lease Office Properties has returned $19.39 per share while liquidating W.P.

WPC $15B

Orphan REITs Mar 11

FactSet’s Take-Private Rumours

FactSet is drawing Thoma Bravo and Hellman & Friedman take-private interest, with its subscription retention, cash generation and modest…

FDS $12B

Global Outperformers Mar 11

Visa Inc update

Visa and Mastercard meet 15% five-year IRR targets at 25x and 26x 2026 earnings, while American Express needs a wider margin for…

AXP $218B

Global Outperformers Mar 11

We Dramatically Improved our Machine Learning Model to Price Kalshi Earnings Contracts. It Went 11/13.

A two-layer machine-learning model correctly called 11 of 13 CrowdStrike earnings-word contracts on Kalshi, using historical transcripts…

CRWD $248B

First Strike Research Mar 7

Sea Limited (SE) Q4'25 - Shopee in Focus, 11 Reasons To Keep Investing

Sea Limited generated about $3.5 billion in free cash flow as Shopee invests in Southeast Asian and Brazilian growth despite lower 2027…

SE $49B

Sleep Well Investments Mar 6

Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner

Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…

KSPI $18B

Cluseau Research Mar 2 2 clicks

Portfolio Update February 2026

Constellation Software and Roper Technologies became 13% and 16% holdings after an AI-driven software selloff, while Ashtead and Kraft…

ROP $47B

D Invests Mar 2

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

AER $26B

Bristlemoon Capital Mar 2 1 click

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Myles on X

Serenity on X

Myles on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

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