Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $31B

Cestrian Capital Research 40h ago 3 clicks

40h ago INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

40h ago BMRN $11B

BioMarin Pharmaceuticals (BMRN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@finphysnerd Oct 22 1 click

Myles on X

$MRNA down 17% it's a beautiful day🥳

@irbezek Oct 22

Ian Bezek on X

@valuedrift As someone short both $SOXS and $SOXL this is the dream.

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@credealjunkie Weird days in my portfolio Calls in $USO up Puts in $IWM and $SPY up Event driven name up REITs up Puts in Coreweave up + 4.3% vs Nasdaq today Some pod long/short factor favoring my positioning I'm not smart like this, I'm not sure if I'm smart at all https://t.co/AOgWSRqhKt

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22 4 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Had Serenity bought the $PSA preferred yielding 7.1%, $964,850 of annual dividend income would've been locked in for life https://t.co/Y24BMKCeeq

@BrokenMoats Oct 22 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Full disclosure my frustration with these dispersion short trades intra ai squeezing has likely emotionally walked me into aggressively shorting a bunch of them today and yesterday after following for weeks in bewilderment. $DOCU $V $APPN $GDDY $PCTY $PAYC $KSS $ROL puts and shares on all. Won't stay forever just for reality to comeback, seems like the goal/twst setup from a few weeks ago

@StableBread Oct 22

Fajasy on X

Continue reading here for where $BWXT could trade by the end of 2027 in my bear, base, and bull cases: https://t.co/bPIYua98gd

@StableBread Oct 22 4 clicks

Fajasy on X

Curtiss-Wright $CW is BWX Technologies’ $BWXT closest comp, and $BWXT trades below it on every measure but FCF yield. Since naval propulsion is close to half of $BWXT’s revenue, its closest comps are other Navy suppliers. Small-reactor developers like Oklo $OKLO and NuScale $SMR wouldn’t work anyway, as they lost $73.2M and $64.0M from operations in Q2 2026, leaving no EBITDA multiple to compare against. So I decided to compare $BWXT with four listed companies building or equipping the same Navy submarines and carriers: → Curtiss-Wright $CW: Pumps, valves, and turbines for the same submarines and carriers, plus reactor coolant pumps for Westinghouse’s AP1000. → Leonardo DRS $DRS: Naval power and propulsion systems, including electric drive equipment for the Columbia-class. → General Dynamics $GD: Builds the submarines through its Electric Boat unit. → Huntington Ingalls $HII: Builds the carriers and submarines at its Newport News shipyard. Here’s how they compare on 2026 estimates (P/E, EV/EBITDA, EV/sales, FCF yield): → $BWXT: 30.7x, 22.5x, 3.95x, 2.64% → $CW: 36.3x, 24.8x, 5.54x, 2.90% → $DRS: 26.9x, 18.4x, 2.48x, 2.78% → $GD: 19.7x, 13.9x, 1.68x, 5.34% → $HII: n/a, 12.3x, 0.98x, 5.28% Note: CW’s, GD’s, and HII’s EBITDA is operating income plus D&A from company guidance, since they don’t guide EBITDA. $BWXT trades above the two shipbuilders, which earn thinner margins. HII guides shipbuilding operating margins of 6.0-6.5% and GD 10.5% overall, vs. $BWXT’s 12.6% GAAP operating margin in 2025. A reasonable EV/EBITDA range for $BWXT is 16-24x, between its own end-2023 multiple and Curtiss-Wright’s today.

@DeepSailCapital Oct 22

Deep Sail Capital on X

$PNG.V: Kraken is the subsystem prime for AUVs, batteries, sonar and navigation (via Covelya/Sonardyne) so it captures $3–5m of content per hull as Anduril and the navies scale up uncrewed fleets $THEON: Theon is NATO’s night-vision franchise, just got into counter drones. Cheap, and growing +20% $MOD — After the October 1 spin, Modine is a pure-play data center cooling company the market still prices like an auto-parts supplier, at roughly 10x FY28E EBITDA versus Vertiv near 40x, while large chillers and air handlers for Google and Amazon grow 60%+ $TOI.V — Topicus is Constellation’s European vertical-software arm, with 6% recurring organic growth. I think it re-rates once the new CEO puts its €180m+ half-yearly free cash flow back to work on acquisitions.

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $62B

Irrational Analysis 41h ago 4 clicks

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $5.4B

Best Anchor Stocks 46h ago 3 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

LITE $62B

Dustin Quasney 47h ago 2 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $6.6BVAL $6.3B

Cannibal Stocks 47h ago 2 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Veeva Systems: AI Is The Icing, Not The Cake

Veeva Systems' Commercial Solutions returned to 13% subscription growth, while R&D and Quality grew 19.3%, with Falcon AI agents and…

VEEV $49B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Nov 3

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

LITE $62B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Nebius: Headlines Look Good But Debt Markets Signal Caution (Rating Downgrade)

Nebius faces refinancing and dilution risks from short-term borrowing and heavy GPU infrastructure spending despite higher rental prices…

NBIS $42B

Hunting Alphas Nov 2 2 clicks

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

LITE $62B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $20B

CV's Substack Nov 2 4 clicks

BNTX Earnings Review

BioNTech's Q3 revenue beat consensus on €613 million of BMS partnership revenue, while COVID vaccine sales fell 35% and net cash totaled…

BNTX $22B

Cestrian Capital Research 41h ago 1 click

ON Semiconductor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Onsemi's Q3 revenue rose 11% to $1.72 billion, driven by 175% AI data-center growth, while automotive revenue fell 1% and net debt dropped…

ON $28B

Cestrian Capital Research 43h ago 2 clicks

BSP · short

Bending Spoons Spa

Bending Spoons is a software and digital-assets holding company that has completed more than 50 acquisitions since 2013.

BSP $29B

Value Investors Club Aug 5 1 click

BMRN Earnings Review

BioMarin’s Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while lower 2026 guidance and $2.8 billion of net debt…

BMRN $11B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 2 1 click

Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense

Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…

GRAB $12B

Wavelength Research Nov 2 2 clicks

DoorDash 3Q’26: Buying the Big Basket

DoorDash’s 3Q orders rose 28% as it announced a $17 billion Instacart acquisition, expanding its grocery basket strategy after buying…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 2 1 click

Kinross: Back On The Sale Rack (Rating Upgrade)

Kinross faces a roughly 6% 2026 guidance miss after lower Round Mountain and La Coipa output, while costs rose 20% year over year.

KGC $24B

Taylor Dart Nov 2 1 click

[scuttleslops] RDDT, AI and cybersecurity, AMZN, MU, META, BLDR, RYAN

Reddit’s Google referrals fell by more than 1 million a week as AI search expands, prompting a logged-in-user push to protect ad yield and…

RDDT $18B

scuttleblurb Nov 2 2 clicks

Iron Mountain: The Data-Focused REIT Looking To Climb Ahead After Q3 Results

Iron Mountain’s upgraded Q2 guidance, revenue, EBITDA and AFFO trends support its outlook before Nov.

IRM $35B

Albert Anthony Nov 2 1 click

Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again

Global Payments rose 18% on a reported CD&R and GTCR take-private bid, while estimated control value is $45-$60 versus a $96.84 share price.

GPN $26BFIS $16B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 2 1 click

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Myles on X

Ian Bezek on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Broken Moats on X

Fajasy on X

Fajasy on X

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