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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

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TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B
Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

From X

@AsifSuria 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

The empire building at the Honeywell spinoff Solstice $SOLS came to an abrupt stop even before it started. In a highly unusual move, Solstice and Element Solutions $ESI decided to call off their merger. What makes this move particularly unusual is that neither party will have to pay a termination fee. In the words of Solstice Chairman Rajeev Gautam: "Following conversations with our shareholders and discussions between the parties, both Boards unanimously believe that it is in the best interests of our respective shareholders, employees and customers to terminate the merger agreement" The spread on this deal was as high as 9.13% at the end of last month. Solstice was up after hours yesterday on this news and is likely to post gains during the regular trading session today not just because shareholders are relieved this merger is over. Considering this was a cash plus stock deal with a majority of the payout in stock of Solstice, any arbs that want to unwind this trade will now have to buy shares of Solstice to close out the short leg of their merger arbitrage trade. This is one of the reasons I avoid "all stock" or "cash plus stock deals". You could end up getting hit on both sides of the trade when the stock of the target drops and the stock of the acquiring company spikes on deal termination. In this case, the premium paid for $ESI was about 15% and instead of the stock going up when the deal was announced, it actually fell due to the big drop in Solstice's stock. So we might not see a large drop in Element Solutions and it is possible it might even go up.

Investor Letters

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Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B
Best Anchor Stocks 3 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

LITE $48B
Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $17B
CV's Substack 5 clicks

BNTX Earnings Review

BioNTech's Q3 revenue beat consensus on €613 million of BMS partnership revenue, while COVID vaccine sales fell 35% and net cash totaled…

BNTX $22B
Cestrian Capital Research 1 click
BSP · short

Bending Spoons Spa

Bending Spoons is a software and digital-assets holding company that has completed more than 50 acquisitions since 2013.

BSP $29B
Value Investors Club 1 click

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