Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
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Monday, November 2, 2026

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BMRN Earnings Review

BioMarin’s Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while lower 2026 guidance and $2.8 billion of net debt weighed on earnings.

BMRN $11B
Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

From X

@ParadisLabs 8 clicks

Paradis on X

The fact that there's such varying opinions on the neocloud market is a factor behind the constant stock price volatility. For example, Barclays are bearish while GS are bullish. So while the most recent sell-off is driven by financing & cost of capital concerns, nobody really knows what the ecosystem will look like in December, let alone 2028+. These companies are becoming increasingly impossible to forecast, so Elon & Chamath's comments should be taken as a serious source of information IMO...even if you think they have alterior motives. Consolidation seems likely and IMO there are 3 standout neoclouds: $SPCX, $NBIS and $CRWV.
@aleabitoreddit 3 clicks

Serenity on X

Not actively. I've been pointing out issues with Neocloud/Colo financing since 2025 from $SLNH to $CRWV debt interest. And maintain my opinion only a few neoclouds would survive in a few years, given they build enough of a moat to differentiate themselves against hyperscalers. So I don't think Elon's comments are completely wrong about Neoclouds, but there's nuances. One example was $NBIS SOFR + 2.75% $3.5B facility with Citibank, which actually has better rates than GPU financing from $2T+ companies. So kinda hard to say neocloud financing has "entirely shut off" since this Citibank facility was announced 3D ago I'm not arguing the merits of Elon's claims here. There's some truth to them, even if they're framed in extremes. I'm happy to hear his opinion on the direction of the industry... but if they're mainly amplifying concerns about competitor downfall (which benefits $SPCX + $TSLA) There's some cause for concern about how healthy that is to the town square dynamic Elon originally envisioned with X.
@calvinblissett 6 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

$MP. You guys know me I am CHEAP, negative enterprise value, double digit dividend yields cheap. The theme behind $MP looks very secular, I saw Ross Perot call what they have in California the “Saudi’s Arabia” of magnets. Analysts price targets are virtually all 100% above today’s price. The selloff is not justified based on the underlying commodity price (aka fundamentals) is my takeaway from some reading. I also spoke with someone who worked at BofA this summer and per him “on a call with a senator the senator was essentially just repeating buy $MP and the moderator said shut up and stop”. May someone with a bigger brain then me give their thoughts
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

$MP. You guys know me I am CHEAP, negative enterprise value, double digit dividend yields cheap. The theme behind $MP looks very secular, I saw Ross Perot call what they have in California the “Saudi’s Arabia” of magnets. Analysts price targets are virtually all 100% above today’s price. The selloff is not justified based on the underlying commodity price (aka fundamentals) is my takeaway from some reading. May someone with a bigger brain then me give their thoughts

Investor Letters

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PRIM · long

Primoris Services CORP

Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.

PRIM $3.9B
Value Investors Club

Altria: Dutiful

Altria raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.66 to $5.74 and authorized more buybacks, while on! loses share as cigarette margins hold.

MO $130B
Invariant 2 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B
John Hempton's Newsletter 3 clicks

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $404M
The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

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