Monday, November 2, 2026

BMRN Earnings Review

BioMarin’s Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while lower 2026 guidance and $2.8 billion of net debt weighed on earnings.

BMRN $11B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 2 1 click

Nov 2 PLTR $429B

Palantir Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 2 FTAI $20B

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

CV's Substack 5 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett Oct 17 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

Radian ($RDN) is a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer that is reshaping itself into a global specialty insurer through its $1.7 billion acquisition of Lloyd’s carrier Inigo, closed in February. Investors are skeptical of the pivot: Q2 missed estimates as a $30 million reserve charge tied to Middle East exposure pushed Inigo’s combined ratio to 97.7%. At $30.61, RDN trades at about 0.85x book value of $36 and roughly 7x annualized operating earnings of $1.14 per quarter. The core mortgage book is better than ever: primary insurance in force hit a record $284 billion, and higher rates keep policies in force longer because fewer borrowers refinance. Radian still holds $1.45 billion of capital above the mortgage insurance standard (PMIERs), 37% above requirements, and excluding the one-off charge, specialty margins were in the high 80s. Book value grew 8.5% year over year, and buybacks are tracking toward the top of the $200–250 million target.

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 5 clicks

A Capital on X

The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.

@gnoble79 Oct 17 4 clicks

George Noble on X

@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?

@calvinblissett Oct 17 16 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?

@finphysnerd Oct 17 2 clicks

Myles on X

Shorts that aren't actually that overvalued (a 10+15% grower trading at 30x earnings can be overvalued, but still easily trade to 40-50x). Sizing is very important. Stuff like $CBA, $WDFC, $WMT, $WING have been some of my biggest winners this year with no catalyst.

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 2 clicks

A Capital on X

My favorite part of this $OWL article… What possible value could investment bankers see in a full or partial sale of the business that the public market is apparently missing? https://t.co/5rjY1IZQv1 https://t.co/yWPrLNBD21

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 5 clicks

A Capital on X

What are the most interesting asset monetization / SOTP situations in the market right now? Looking for companies where the public market is materially undervaluing the underlying assets, with a credible path to unlocking that value through asset sales, spin-offs, or corporate simplification. Not just cheap conglomerates. Actual catalysts. I’ll start: $FUL $CODI $KBR

DoorDash 3Q’26: Buying the Big Basket

DoorDash’s 3Q orders rose 28% as it announced a $17 billion Instacart acquisition, expanding its grocery basket strategy after buying…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 2 1 click

Kinross: Back On The Sale Rack (Rating Upgrade)

Kinross faces a roughly 6% 2026 guidance miss after lower Round Mountain and La Coipa output, while costs rose 20% year over year.

KGC $25B

Taylor Dart Nov 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] RDDT, AI and cybersecurity, AMZN, MU, META, BLDR, RYAN

Reddit’s Google referrals fell by more than 1 million a week as AI search expands, prompting a logged-in-user push to protect ad yield and…

RDDT $18B

scuttleblurb Nov 2 3 clicks

5 Lessons I Learned from Nick Sleep, The Last Buy-and-Holder

Nick Sleep’s Nomad returned 921% before fees by concentrating in Amazon, Costco and Berkshire, and backing businesses that share scale…

COST $460B

Jimmy's Journal Nov 2 3 clicks

Iron Mountain: The Data-Focused REIT Looking To Climb Ahead After Q3 Results

Iron Mountain’s upgraded Q2 guidance, revenue, EBITDA and AFFO trends support its outlook before Nov.

IRM $33B

Albert Anthony Nov 2 3 clicks

Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again

Global Payments rose 18% on a reported CD&R and GTCR take-private bid, while estimated control value is $45-$60 versus a $96.84 share price.

GPN $26BFIS $16B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 2 1 click

SoFi Technologies: On The Brink Of A Major Profitability Breakout

SoFi targets $6.4 billion in 2027 adjusted net revenue and $0.90 EPS as financial services growth lifts margins and profitability.

SOFI $22B

The Asian Investor Nov 1 2 clicks

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3…

CLMT $3.8B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 4 clicks

Altria: Dutiful

Altria raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.66 to $5.74 and authorized more buybacks, while on! loses share as cigarette margins hold.

MO $130B

Invariant Nov 1 3 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Oct 2026) - SWI#25 and #26 Adding Exposure to AI.

Sleep Well Portfolio adds two AI infrastructure suppliers and trims CrowdStrike at a 140x free-cash-flow valuation and $270 billion market…

CRWD $248BSE $49B

Sleep Well Investments Nov 1 8 clicks

PRIM · long

Primoris Services CORP

Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.

PRIM $3.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 4

Lumentum Earnings Preview: The AI Boom Is Already Priced In

Lumentum's $840.70 share price assumes durable AI-driven laser shortages and margins despite capacity expansion, customer bargaining power…

LITE $62B

Lee Bailey Nov 1 1 click

Portfolio Update October 2026

Portfolio returned over 15% in October, lifting cumulative gains to 103.5%, while adding 3i Group and increasing Floor & Decor and…

TGOPF $36BTSCO $19B

D Invests Nov 1 4 clicks

Agnico Eagle: Soaring Above The Peer Group

Agnico Eagle expects low-end 2026 guidance despite Barnat setbacks, while Hope Bay, Upper Beaver and Odyssey support production above 4…

AEM $93B

Taylor Dart Nov 1 3 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…

LITE $62BCOHR $41B

P Equity Research Oct 31 2 clicks

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $20B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 5 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 4 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $90B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $423B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 4 clicks

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Monday, November 2, 2026

Calvin Blissett on X

A Capital on X

George Noble on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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Myles on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

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