Sunday, November 1, 2026

Travelzoo ($TZOO): Members Pay Up Front, GAAP Calls It a Loss, and the Market Prices It Like It's Dying. I think the stock can 4x

Travelzoo’s roughly 400,000 prepaid members generate deferred revenue while acquisition costs hit GAAP earnings immediately, masking the…

Altria: Dutiful

Altria raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.66 to $5.74 and authorized more buybacks, while on! loses share as cigarette margins hold.

Sleep Well Portfolio (Oct 2026) - SWI#25 and #26 Adding Exposure to AI.

Sleep Well Portfolio adds two AI infrastructure suppliers and trims CrowdStrike at a 140x free-cash-flow valuation and $270 billion market…

Portfolio Update October 2026

Portfolio returned over 15% in October, lifting cumulative gains to 103.5%, while adding 3i Group and increasing Floor & Decor and…

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

SA Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

GTLB · long

Gitlab INC

“The tip of the iceberg.”

Stevanato's 8% organic Q2 growth and 21% adjusted EBITDA growth came with a modest FY 2026 guidance lift after the Balda divestiture.

Single Stock Spotlight #12: X Marks the Spot

Xerox is pitched as a cash-generating managed-decline value play, with debt, activist interest and short interest setting up a potential…

A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents

Lionheart Holdings’ 41-cent CUBWW warrants hinge on a SPAC merger valuing KEO Energy’s Venezuelan PetroUrdaneta stake at $1 billion, versus…

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BAT: Two Steps Forward, Many Steps Back

British American Tobacco’s H1 growth came largely from U.S. modern oral products and inventory benefits, while weakening regulation, rising…

WD #352: Situational Awareness, Warsh, ICE/MKTX, Overvalued EM Currencies

ICE's purchase of MarketAxess spotlights takeout risk for value stocks, while the Situational Awareness blow-up, Kevin Warsh's FOMC presser…

Earnings Week in the Graveyard

Empire State Realty Trust cut Observatory NOI guidance to $55 million from $87 to $92 million after Q2 NOI fell roughly 50%, reducing Core…

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

Interview with Roderick van Zuylen

Roderick van Zuylen discusses Night Watch’s value strategy, catalyst-driven screening and positions in Asian equities including Dream…