Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Sunday, November 1, 2026
Back to today 
From X
kab60 on X
Remember when this compounder turned shitco traded below TBV? $KMX Eventually everything trades like a toaster: https://t.co/pxg6c20uj0
John_Hempton on X
@stubmt I lost 0.02 percent on $AMC today. Position is tiny.
Barbarian Capital on X
AAR to Pay $1.8 Billion for Stake in Aircraft-Maintenance Company $AIR https://t.co/y3DZLQRhaO
Barbarian Capital on X
Vail Resorts Loss Widens After a Year of Tough Weather $MTN https://t.co/8UH8LNPKDb
Barbarian Capital on X
$CROX new demand driver uncovered https://t.co/sJumnF7PRz
Lee Roach on X
Timberland companies looking pretty decent here. $RYN. https://t.co/tlr3d7MiCs
marginofdanger on X
$HHH perhaps this line from the recent proxy filing is what is causing market to move: "Discussions will include ... efforts to significantly reduce the capital intensity of Howard Hughes Communities" https://t.co/8sBEkb8X5A
Prepared Remarks on X
Why shouldn’t I look at $PLNT?
Investor Letters
All letters- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 AAP $2.9BCUUCF $5.3B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.5B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 VVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.3B
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.1BHGV $3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.6BLKQ $5B
- Bretton Fund 3rd Quarter 2026 MBGL $5.6B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
PSN · long Parsons CORP
Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Benjamin C. Barry 
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Geneva Investor 4 clicks
Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 4 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)
Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…
Trade Alert - Long RIG
HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.
Publications we follow
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Newsletters 109
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Absurdly Cheap Stocks
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
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- Bilbel's Substack
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- CV's Substack
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- Ezra's Notes
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- Latticework by MOI Global
- Lewistown Capital
- Librarian Capital's Research Library
- Maius Partners
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- Mispriced Assets
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- Multibagger Monitor
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
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- Vik's Newsletter
- WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate”
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Blogs 15
- Atrium Research - Equity Research
- Bireme Capital - Investor Letters
- Cestrian Capital Research
- Choice Equities Capital Management
- Clark Street Value
- Crossroads Capital | Research-driven, Value-centric
- Hunterbrook
- Kerrisdale Capital
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- Raging Capital
- Speedwell Research
- Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology.
- The Technology Letter
- Undervalued Shares
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Seeking Alpha 69 of 270
Adam Schadt
Albert Anthony
Andres Veurink- Arizona Equity Research
Bay Area Ideas
Blake Winiecki
Capital Connoisseur
Dane Bowler
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Deep Value Investing
Dhierin Bechai
Dilantha De Silva
Dustin Quasney
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Eudaemon Research
Fernanda Galvez Jalil
Fountainhead- Geneva Investor
Given Mahlangu
Henrik Alex
High Alpha Professor- Ignacio Planas Gonzalez
Infinity Curve
Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
JR Research
Julia Ostian
Khaveen Investments
Kurt Christensen
LL Insights
Long Player
Marc Gerstein
Melissa Tucker
Mike Arnold
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PropNotes
PV Research
Quantryon Capital
Robert J. Lake
Ron Ferrie
Ryan Canady
Sam Mancini
Seeking Profits
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SiliconBytes Insights
Simple Investment Ideas
Sorrento Research
Stephen Ayers
Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
The Asian Investor
The Bullionaire
The Curious Analyst
The J Thesis
The Market Auditor
The Supercycle Investor
The Undercovered Dozen
Tim Travis
Uttam Dey
Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
Zoltan Ban
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
💥PETITION💥
A Capital
absreturnchaser
Adam D. Wyden
Alpha Vulture
AltayCap
Asif Suria
Bank Reg Blog
Barbarian Capital
BDC
Bill Ackman
Brian McGough
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
Dalius - Special Sits
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Derek Pilecki
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
George Noble
Hunterbrook
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Kevin Mak
Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Paradis
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital- RiverRoadPartners
Rohan Pavuluri
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
Serenity
SG
Sheel Mohnot
SouthernValue
Steve Eisman
The Friendly Bear
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Undiscovered Compounders
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 1851 Capital
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpine Capital Research
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Andrew Hill Investment Advisors
- Andvari Associates
- Angel Oak Capital Advisors
- Ariel Investments
- Aristotle Funds
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Auxier Asset Management
- Azvalor Asset Management
- Baird Equity Asset Management
- Baron Funds
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Biglari Holdings
- Bireme Capital
- BlackRock
- Blue Tower Asset Management
- Brasada Capital
- Bretton Fund
- Brighton Jones
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broadleaf Partners
- Broyhill Asset Management
- ByteTree
- Cambiar Investors
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Cedar Creek Partners
- Cedar Grove Capital Management
- Chautauqua Capital Management
- Chilton Capital Management
- Choice Equities
- Claret Asset Management
- Comus Investment
- Conestoga Capital Advisors
- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
- Davenport Asset Management
- Davis Advisors Global ADR
- Davis Advisors Large Cap Value
- Davis Opportunity Fund
- Davis Real Estate Fund
- Diranko Capital
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- DoubleLine
- East 72
- Easterly Asset Management
- EdgePoint Wealth Management
- Evolve Private Wealth
- FPA Crescent Fund
- Fairlight Capital
- Fairtree Asset Management
- Fenimore Asset Management
- Fiduciary Management
- Fiera Capital
- Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Gabelli Funds
- Giverny Capital
- GoodHaven Capital Management
- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- GreenWood Investors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
- Greenwood Gearhart
- Grey Owl Capital Management
- Guinness Global Investors
- Halvio Capital
- Harding Loevner
- Harry Qelm Baabsman
- Hayden Capital
- Heartland Advisors
- Highwood Value Partners
- Hinde Group
- Hoisington Investment Management
- Hood River Capital Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Hosking Partners
- Infuse Asset Management
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- JM Finn
- Janus Henderson Investors
- Jemekk Capital Management
- Kathmandu Capital
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kennedy Capital Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- Kingdom Capital Advisors
- LVS Advisory
- Langdon Equity Partners
- Lansing Street Advisors
- Latitude Investment Management
- Laughing Water Capital
- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Long Cast Advisers
- Lyrical Asset Management
- Mar Vista Investment Partners
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
- Marram Investment Management
- Massif Capital
- Matrix Asset Advisors
- Matthews Asia
- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Moon Capital Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- Nelnet
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
- Nightview Capital
- Nixon Capital
- North Sky Capital
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Oldfield Partners
- Ophir Asset Management
- Optimist Fund
- Orange Investment Advisors
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- Pzena Investment Management
- QuantStreet Capital
- Quercus Fund
- RF Capital Management
- RGA Investment Advisors
- Regency Wealth Management
- Rewey Asset Management
- Right Tail Capital
- RiverPark Funds
- Riverwater Partners
- Robinson Capital Management
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Saga Partners
- SaltLight Capital
- Sequoia Fund
- Shelton Capital Management
- Smead Capital Management
- Sound Shore Management
- Southeastern Asset Management
- SouthernSun Asset Management
- Stone Sentinel Capital
- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TIFF Investment Management
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Upslope Capital Management
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
