Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Copart $CPRT just acquired $ACVA for $1.9B. The filings came out on the 17th, and I've spent 12 hours a day analyzing everything since. I read so much my eye drops stopped cutting it, had to switch back to vitamin A for the dry eyes. As usual, the reality is way more complicated than anything I've seen on social media so far. I break it all down, and what it means for my Copart thesis. Have fun. (Link in bio/below.)
Bernstein on CXMT: “We believe a new fab of max capacity at 100k wpm is being built in Shanghai now, & is due to begin production early next year. There is no mention of this fab in any company filings” Models capex rising 70% YoY through ‘28 to $35B CXMT capex is $ACMR revenue https://t.co/rQXi6eh7PX
$ACMR seems to be the simplest way to play the inevitable CXMT/YMTC ramp https://t.co/NlvTBGCZSr
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
@jukan05 Sounds like $PENG
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Agnico Eagle expects low-end 2026 guidance despite Barnat setbacks, while Hope Bay, Upper Beaver and Odyssey support production above 4…
Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…
AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…
FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…
SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.
Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
PSN · long Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.
Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…
SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.
Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…
Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.
Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.
CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.
Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.
Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…
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