Sunday, November 1, 2026

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.

CLMT $4.3B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 3 clicks

Nov 1 SE $45B

Sleep Well Portfolio (Oct 2026) - SWI#25 and #26 Adding Exposure to AI.

Sleep Well Investments 7 clicks

Nov 1 TGOPF $33B

Portfolio Update October 2026

D Invests 3 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Nov 1 1 click

Myles on X

$GRND has gotten cheap again. Short report concerns have been mostly shrugged off. It's still one of the best businesses in the world and now trading at 24x trailing earnings. Will be adding a bit and buying dips.

@BarbarianCap Nov 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

7/n $BSP CEO @luke10ferrari on Joys of Compounding @Buhrman_Rick ⁠@PaulBuser⁠ Sounds like a very thoughtful operator, not that he needs my opinion https://t.co/Xwd1Namvk8

@finphysnerd Nov 1 3 clicks

Myles on X

I think $HONA looks pretty attractive here. Some execution risk, but this is fundamentally a fantastic business that is experiencing short term issues, while experiencing spinoff selling and hedge fund degrossing. I think it's hard to lose too much money here.

@ACapitalLP Nov 1 2 clicks

A Capital on X

The market seems to be valuing $GRND like a traditional swipe app with a shrinking payer base ($MTCH), rather than a utility for a community with no real substitute. The engagement numbers are absurd. Data shows Grindr users spending 6h 27m/month on the app vs. 2h 10m for Hinge and 1h 30m for Tinder (~3x and ~4.3x, respectively). Add $26.50 ARPPU, 16% payer growth, and ~42% EBITDA margins. Not exactly the economics of a dying dating app…

@ACapitalLP Nov 1 1 click

A Capital on X

Why isn’t $GRND asymmetric into the 11/5 print? At $12.65, it’s ~10x ‘27 EBITDA pre-Freddie, alt data shows MAUs reaccelerating, and the call should clarify Freddie’s margin dilution. The Ithaca Holdings take-private of $BMBL and Zage’s $18 bid last year provide interesting valuation reference points… What’s the bear actually leaning on?

@Fierce__beast Nov 1 2 clicks

Fierce_beast on X

it's hitting tutors, i wonder if it's a matter of time before it hits online education like $PXED where is the edge, what's the point, will higher ed credential matter that much in 5 years? the thesis for $cour and $udmy was that their claimed value of millions of hours of courses was irreplaceable. that thesis is now broken. $SLM now seems interesting, a very low valuation, but is it a short or long?

@DevinLaSarre Nov 1

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. Altria: Dutiful $MO $PM $BTI $IMBBY $STG $HAYPP https://t.co/eiMmjAwcRb

@TidefallCapital Nov 1

Trevor Scott on X

@teechongyen $CROX easily takes that one

Agnico Eagle: Soaring Above The Peer Group

Agnico Eagle expects low-end 2026 guidance despite Barnat setbacks, while Hope Bay, Upper Beaver and Odyssey support production above 4…

AEM $84B

Taylor Dart Nov 1 3 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…

LITE $62BCOHR $41B

P Equity Research Oct 31 1 click

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $20B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

GTLB · long

Gitlab INC

GTLB $8.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 18

LTC Properties Upgraded To Buy, A Monthly Income Opportunity Driven By Senior Care (Rating Upgrade)

LTC Properties’ shift toward independent and assisted living supports FFO growth and monthly dividends, while operator concentration and…

LTC $2.4B

Albert Anthony Sep 5

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6B

The Value Road Sep 4 27 clicks

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

HONA $49B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 4 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

Trading Post 9/4/2026

Lululemon reported a 9% global comparable-sales decline, 20% lower leggings sales and mid-single-digit operating-margin guidance, with…

LULU $12B

Cassandra Unchained Sep 4

Short Thoughts - Cassandra in Flames?

Tailored Brands’ bankruptcy erased an asset-backed small-cap thesis, while lululemon has become the portfolio’s largest and most…

LULU $12B

Cassandra Unchained Sep 3

Portfolio Update August 2026

Portfolio update: Honeywell Aerospace was added after a 20% post-earnings drop, while vertical software remains over 35% of holdings amid…

HONA $49BZTS $33B

D Invests Sep 3

NIO: Shrinking Losses, Industry-Leading Margins And An Undervalued Price Tag

NIO beat Q2 expectations as delivery growth and higher ES8 and ES9 vehicle margins narrowed losses. Its shares trade at 0.35 times revenue.

NIO $8B

The Asian Investor Sep 3 3 clicks

Synopsys q3’26 Earnings Update

Synopsys reported 8% EDA and 11% Design IP growth in Q3 2026, with Multiphysics Fusion expected to add revenue from fiscal 2027.

SNPS $92B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 3

Sunday, November 1, 2026

Myles on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

Devin LaSarre on X

Trevor Scott on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 69 of 272

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors