Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 VRRM $505M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $3.6B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

From X

@DOMOCAPITAL Oct 30

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

One of the reasons that Brazil started to take a lot of the ethanol export volume was a sharp appreciation in the Brazilian Real which leads Brazilian producers to favor ethanol vs sugar production. The sharp depreciation in the Real following the election will reverse this and lead to greater sugar production moving forward. Very bullish for $ALTO and $GPRE.

@pennycheck Oct 30

⚽️📡 on X

. @tickerplus data ftw $ospn https://t.co/3FVL46nKgB

@DOMOCAPITAL Oct 30

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$GPRE https://t.co/nB665X2SfA Wow - that's a ton of cash for a company with a $955M market cap......... current valuation makes no sense.

@TidefallCapital Oct 30

Trevor Scott on X

@ACapitalLP should $MGM not pay down a little more debt? Diller just running the Malone playbook here.

@kab604 Oct 30

kab60 on X

"The current environment strongly favors allocating capital toward share repurchases and as such we have secured Board authorization for an additional $1 billion in share repurchases" $AN up pre-market, $GPI and $ABG up biggly since the lows... These things shouldn't trade ~7x

@ACapitalLP Oct 30

A Capital on X

Starting to think $MGM is absurdly cheap here at ~$29… Market extrapolating a terrible Vegas quarter (EBITDAR -12%, RevPAR -8%) while largely ignoring Macau share gains, BetMGM profitability and Osaka optionality. More interestingly, the buyback window reopens 10/30 with $1.4bn remaining (~20% of market cap). Management willing to take leverage from ~4x to 4.5–5x. Vegas weakness is real, but the marginal buyer is potentially the company itself, with substantial firepower at precisely the wrong price for sellers. Note: Barry Diller ($PPLI) was willing to pay $48/share for this exact same company a few months ago… Thoughts welcome.

@KEDM_COM Oct 30

KEDM.com on X

Minot Light Capital Partners highlighted the recent IPO – Mobia Medical $MOBI. The Fund said the share price collapsed after the IPO even though FDA-approved Vivistim stroke-recovery device addresses a multibillion-dollar market, net cash covers over half its market cap, and a normal high-growth MedTech multiple could take shares above $40.

@gnoble79 Oct 30 1 click

George Noble on X

The short sellers ran, and the business didn't get any better... The stock is still 56.7% below our short call, and the quarter gave us more reasons to stay: https://t.co/bDmCej37eg Stay short $WING

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $327M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.9B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $327M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BWGO $842M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.8B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $913M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.1B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.6B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.4B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $8.6B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

FRMI $1.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.8B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $327M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $6.4B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $709M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

⚽️📡 on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Trevor Scott on X

kab60 on X

A Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

George Noble on X

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