Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $62B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

Oct 31 VRRM $404M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP Oct 15 1 click

A Capital on X

$VSAT < $60 👀

@junkbondinvest Oct 15

junkbondinvestor on X

GTCR and Elliott are buying $CCC at ~5.3x fwd revenue and ~12.5x EBITDA. This is a uppier-tier vertical SaaS w/ ~42% EBITDA margins, ~98% gross retention, and network effects If the best assets are clearing at 5-6x, think about what that means for software lenders on everything else.

@valuedontlie Oct 15 3 clicks

Colin King on X

September 2026 write-ups: 1) $THRM RMT transaction (sort of a spin) 2) $CTVA $VYLR spin-off 3) Guide to M&A situations 4) $DECK beaten down (busted GARP) 5) $RAVE transitioning from turnaround to growth story https://t.co/fKWlrWNy4S

@calvinblissett Oct 15

Calvin Blissett on X

$CCLD crazy important earnings. Questions and things to monitor: new AI products, cybersecurity any and all information (loss of sales momentum, loss of current clients, still covered by insurance, lawsuits), why no acquisitions, are they still focused on acquisitions or spending more time developing AI products, is the person leading the AI strategy fit to lead it? At what point are buybacks considered despite the phenomenal ROI from acquisition.

@gnoble79 Oct 15

George Noble on X

Thank you @ericjackson for making our 75% return on our $OPEN short position possible. https://t.co/nYkwFmfGHw

@gnoble79 Oct 15 2 clicks

George Noble on X

Attention $OPEN army. I could not have been any more explicit and persistent in urging you to sell your $OPEN at 8 one year ago. You did not listen. Instead I was met with profane invective. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. It is indeed. The ridicule was loud. The analysis was weak. The result was decisive. Some arguments are best settled by the scoreboard. The media is complicit for promoting this garbage. The Noble Update has generated a long/short spread of 63% from selecting longs and shorts over the last year. I Check it out. You want performance? We got this. @natbrunell @philrosenn @APompliano @ericjackson @rabois @MebFaber @dayetweets @MarkNeuman18 @nejatian @piovincenzo_ @MollySOShea @shaneparrish @JonErlichman @Mindset4Money_X @cvpayne @SaraEisen @carlquintanilla @michaelsantoli @jonathanrstern

@irbezek Oct 15 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

If you're wondering why half of FinTwit is going nuts while everyone else is chilling, it's because some of the momo stuff is down 30% this week. $AAOI https://t.co/2s7dBv2qgq

@stockgutter Oct 15 1 click

SG on X

@DeepSailCapital another: $GRRR. Still unprofitable shitco but growing sales, losses narrowing, large short position. Just bought a starter. https://t.co/M7coVWHCaq

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $20B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

LITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held

Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…

DX $2.8BRITM $5.3B

Benjamin C. Barry Oct 30

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.2B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $31B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

One Stop Systems grew Q3 continuing-operations revenue 36% to $12.6 million, raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $45 million, and used $11.8…

OSS $129M

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 1 click

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $12B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Saturday, October 31, 2026

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